PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Met Office Weather Forecast? Hmmmmmmm....
Old 19th Jun 2008, 17:10
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bern444
 
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While accepting that whinging about rubbish forecasts isn't going to change anything, is it not somewhat surprising that despite the the massively improved tools available to the Met Office, and accepting the UK's particular climatological vagaries, forecasts for a few days hence appear not to be a great deal more accurate than they were twenty years ago?
I suppose the answer to that is a question. How would you do it better? When you've solved the problem, let me know quietly because I think I can use the same program to predict the stock market and make a fortune.

I do know from many years working alongside forecasters that the forecasts are better now than they were twenty years ago. The fact that they can still be very wrong means that it is just very very difficult to predict weather. We can't do cold fusion or fly to Alpha Centauri either - it's on the limits of our current capabiliies here in the early days of the twenty-first century. And that's that.

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