PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Met Office Weather Forecast? Hmmmmmmm....
Old 18th Jun 2008, 19:56
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bern444
 
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Some say the UKMO model is better for the UK than GFS.
Yes, there are people who can have serious arguments about that, but I think it's a bit like arguing that "my Ford is better than your Vauxhall" - they're both tin boxes that go along the road. I've sat with high powered forecasters from one organisation about to give a forecast based on their model, whist being absolutely convinced that the other is correct. And on a different day being certain that their was right and the other was wrong. Mostly they more or less agree.

The trouble with predicting weather, apart from it being chaotic, is that it's very big, and a hundred miles north or south really isn't a big deal - unless it's you that gets the unexpected. Nevertheless, there are times when it's possible to be really accurate, and times when it isn't. In the UK, as someone pointed out earlier, we live in a particularly difficult place to forecast, and no amount of whinging can change that.

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