Quote from Trashhauler:
"I'll give it 12 months or less, then everyone will be on the street. Take a look around you."
As the majors trim down, the cargo carriers pick up. Take a look at past history. Time sensitive freight must always move, fish, fruit, and vegetables must still be flown across the ponds. Without the bellies of United and the like available, someone will have to take up the slack. So I disagree with your prediction and say just the opposite, things are looking up.