Poet pilot
Surely 'experienced' VFR pilots plan with no wind because they rely on VOR and GPS to see them to their destination.
Not quite the same for a beginner, and the 'experienced' could find themselves a little short of fuel if they don't check the winds before long flights or even short ones in some parts of Europe.
I find variations in the weather, season and sun angle, not to mention the occasional snow covered day, can all make visual reference recognition either easy or confusing.
Maybe confidence could be regained by initially trying for the perfect day.