If you dont believe in stats then how about this approach:
The Safety guy walks in and hands you a paper with the following:
"The next aircraft accident for our company will be a ________________ involving (pilot) ______________."
Then I'd have employed the seventh son of the seventh son of Gypsy Rose Lee!!!!
Or, as in the case of the French Government, I'd sack the pilot and sell the aircraft; that way, I would know I'd never have another accident!!!
Cheers
Whirls