Please do not knock the forecasters themselves - they are generally not shoddy, careless workers, but are giving of their best to please the customers and the management whilst attempting to do a technically demanding job just like you.
Actually I am not knocking the forecasters. I am knocking the process they generate the forecasts with and that is usually down to bean-counters and penny-pinching management.
I still have memories of Tom Bradbury at Nympsfield, turning up on a rubbish day when nothing was going to leave the circuit. The tug-plane was brought out and he aerotowed off at around 10.00.
We had a fairly tedious day circuit bashing and wondering when we'd get a call to go on a retrieve. At 19.00hrs his aircraft came out from the murk, touched down and stopped.
When we asked what he'd done, he'd flown to Snowdon to investigate the mountain wave there and had a pack of paper recording his readings
Now there was a great forecaster!!!!!!