So, let's see..
Extensions to age 65, even in HKG- don't kid yourselves, it WILL happen.
+
ULR will go 3 crew at anything under 13 hours and probably with a 'helpful' variation from CAD anything up to 15 hours... it's already hinted at in the FTL's, it just won't be at commander's discretion anymore. (there's a HUGE crew saving right there)
+
DEFO's (and maybe even DES/O's )on bases with no housing etc
+
Other carriers just not offering sufficiently sweet deals in order to lure any of us away in sufficiently large numbers... and by that you'd have to be assuming 100+ pilots at all levels... in one hit. Anything less just won't hurt them...only our rosters. 105 hrs per month anyone? Sure, some of us are doing it now, regularly.
+
Just good old management inertia... like global warming.. it's not hurting the bottom line, (YET)so let's not worry about it as long as we can, in the hopes that the next downturn will save us from having to introduce COS improvements that we will have to stick to.
=
No PAYRISES and NO "SHORTAGE"
and besides, when it DOES bite, the knoddies making all the money decisions will no longer be around to account for them.
