the ILS was not functioning properly. The pilot made 2 attempts to come in on the ILS, as the first time he did not see the runway. How much truth there is to that I do not know.
It's officially confirmed by military and in all media in Poland.
The ILS was INOP, they made precise approach guided
by ground officer observing the AC on two radar screens
(vertical and horizontal).
On first approach the pilot didn't see the runway at decision height
and declared a go-around.
On second approach he reported "runway in sight" and the
ground officer quit giving directions...
They crashed few seconds later.
There was no distress call.
Rumour is (from my friend in Navy Aviation Base near
to the place of accident) that icing might have been a
factor of the crash.
METAR EPMI 231800Z 19001MPS 3000 BR BKN003 OVC070 01/00 Q1027 756/7
METAR EPMI 231700Z 00000MPS 4000 BR BKN003 OVC073 01/00 Q1027 757/0
METAR EPMI 231600Z 18001MPS 4000 BR OVC004 01/00 Q1027 757/2