BMI Baby
Topslide6
You sound very confident.
Baby have held out fairly well at EMA against FR & EZY and reasonably well at Manchester against various airlines. However they did not have much competition at Cardiff or BHX until recently and there are signs of them consolidating (BFS-CWL going to one a day and GLA).
In fact at BHX they have retreated (and rightly) on the EDI & GLA. The billboard is still up on the A45 near the airport boasting of 5 flights a day
to EDI and 4 to GLA (against BE's 8), which of course never happened.
This was not down to lack of aircraft in September when they were due to start but more to do with the 30 or 40 pax on the last inbound flight. In fact next summer they both drop to 2 a day in July and August whilst the aircraft flies to sunnier climes (quite right as well). BE have clearly held out in this little battle.
It will really depend on the markets FR & EZY go for at Manchester. Twice a day FR Belfast City could affect Baby's three flights to Aldergrove (but most likely flybe) also if they eventually chose Alicante (FR Base) or some French routes and Easy start Malaga as rumoured it could put pressure on them. It might be a couple of years down the line and who knows where Baby will be then.
Pete