donpizmeov:
Interesting info about the Chairman and his numbers:
"In a interview with the EK chairman the other day, the Gulf News quoted him as saying that EK will have a fleet of 132 aeroplanes by 2013".
I would appreciate if you could post a link to this interview.
And no, you are not missing anything and in fact you are generous with your numbers. The numbers don't lie and anyone coming to this outfit with the idea of getting a 3 year upgrade are dreaming and are in for a very large wakeup call.
The math gets very interesting...........here is some numbers for those of you who have just joined EK or are considering doing so:
Number of Pilots as of 25 Dec 2005:
Capt Airbus: 382
F/O Airbus: 376
Total Airbus: 758
Airbus a/c: 50 (29 A330, 10 A340-500, 8 A340-300, 1 A310, 2 A310F)
Airbus Manning: 15.16 pilots/aircraft
Captain Boeing: 242
F/O Boeing: 233
Total Boeing: 475
Boeing a/c: 30 (12 B777-300, 9 B777-200, 9 B777-300ER)
Boeing Manning: 15.83 pilots/aircraft
*All info taken from internal EK documents and/or public press releases.
As you can see, EK currently man their fleet at slightly less than 8 crews per a/c. Take off those who are in "managment" positions and only fly part of the month and those in training and you can see why we are flying our asses off.
Assuming the Chairmans numbers and no increase in manning levels, 132 aircraft x 15.41 pilots/aircraft = 2034 pilots by 2013. As we currently already have 1233 as of 25 Dec 2005, it looks to me like every single F/O coming now will remain so (even without the DEC's they are hiring) for a VERY LONG TIME.
The only way this scenario will change is if EK continue to buy more a/c; might happen but given the overcapacity already present in the Gulf I would not bet my career on it. Food for thought?