Professional pilots will pay the $200 and claim the tax deduction. No problem.
Bigger companies will pay for the check for their employees. No problem.
Private pilots will once again take the pineapple and be pushed inexorably towards the waiting arms of the RAA. No medical required every few years. No GA engineer charges. CASA leaves them alone mostly. So the pool of amateur or recreational pilots will shrink which means there will be fewer businesses catering to their needs. The industry will lose critical mass and be split in to RAA pilots and those training for Air transport jobs. And AOPA will be...still fighting each other and shadow boxing DOTARS/CASA/AsA!