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Old 17th Apr 2024, 07:50
  #10045 (permalink)  
ORAC
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
 
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Reference the House vote on aid for Ukraine…. 🤕

This is a political trap being laid by @SpeakerJohnson. He wants military aid passed for Israel and NOT for Ukraine.

First the House will pass separate bills. Then these new bills have to go back to the Senate to be voted on again.

Senate Republicans will then pass the House version of aid to Israel, but then filibuster the stand alone Ukraine aid bill. If Ukraine aid can't get 60 votes to end debate in the Senate, then it is dead.

The last vote for aid to Ukraine (with aid to Israel) already had 30 Senators vote against it. If Donald Trump can call and threaten 10 more Republican Senators and twist their arm to join a filibuster, then a stand alone aid bill to Ukraine will never pass.

Or... if Senate Republicans manage to amend a single thing in the bill, it would have to go back to the House to be voted on again and Speaker Johnson could just never allow a vote on the amended version of the bill kicked back to him. Senate Republicans of course would amend nothing in the Israel bill to make sure it doesn't need another vote in the House.

Biden will only get the Israel aid package sent to his desk and then have to decide if he vetoes it or not without Ukraine aid (spoilers - he won't veto it).

​​​​​​​Likewise, doing all this will take additional weeks or months as Senate Republicans will do everything procedurally possible to waste more time to help Russia.

If Speaker Johnson actually wanted aid to pass, he would just schedule an up or down vote on the Senate Bill.
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