Originally Posted by
Meursault
In the last 50 years, on western civil aircraft, how many sudden cases of loss of cabin pressure and subsequent application of 10-20 sec of TUC? Now consider the number of flights where it did not happen. Then consider the total flight time of all flights globally and put it in relation to the total time of a long haul flight with an inexperienced SO alone in the seat.
I think Magenta is not far off, less than one in a billion would be my guess.
You argued that the chances of an explosive decompression are less than a billion to one.
The chance of losing an engine at precisely V1 on a heavy weight take off is infinitely small. Yet, it is the worst case scenario…so regardless of the small chance…we constantly train for the worst case scenario. We don’t not train for it because the chance of it occurring on the line is small.
Do you think it was weak men or strong men that oversaw the development of the 737 Max?