Originally Posted by
ORAC
"This is going to end in hell": Russian oligarchs believe that Russian authorities are leading the country into abyss.
While the Kremlin pretends that everything is under control, the oligarchs start talking openly about the upcoming catastrophe….
Which is why all the Oligarchs are looking at their own PMC's as they can see the writing on the wall.
IMHO several things point to a general breakdown.
1/
The Russian Army, their general powerbase is no longer as it was and probably would struggle to defend the outlying states from insurrection and dissent, along with their overseas commitments such as Syria etc.
2/
Their budget is in tatters, funding a war that it looks like they can no longer afford, their main earners in Gas and Oil a shadow of its former self and with that other large earner, Nuclear energy to also be hit by sanctions, it will get worse. Militarily, I do not think they will have the budget to replace their material losses any time soon..
3/
Conscription, the way it was handled was woofully inept, engineers, those responsible in key infrastructure, heating, power, water, food, production etc were whisked off the streets and sent to be slaughtered in their thousands decimating the factories and infrastructure required to run the Country back home, people that will take two generations to replace.
4/
Police, the latest to be conscripted from the likes of Moscow, meaning a rise in crime, and with the returning prisoners released for serving in Ukraine, a larger criminal base of trained and possibly armed thugs released from prison and finding a lack of police to keep a lid on things.
5/
Conscripted youth slaughtered on the fields of Ukraine for what, Putins vanity, meaning those jobs I mentioned in three will have to skip 2 generations, as the youth that would have filled them is also gone, meaning the generation after them will need to take their place.
6/
High end skills, such as in computing, finance, etc, lost to the country when those with the funds, saw the writing on the wall and fled early on, probably never to return.
7/
Finally, a Country now cut off from the world by just about everyone they used to trade with, who will not wish to trade with nor operate in Russia for a significant time into the future. A Country that is a pariah in the world and far from strengthening it's place and position in the World, has destroyed it and the myth that the Russian Military once had, they have bolstered the Wests resolve and brought NATO back together bigger and stronger than before as no one could have envisioned, and strengthened the cooperation of European countries and the USA.