Originally Posted by
Icarus2001
That surely is the very definition of a fact, it is indisputable.
Now you are changing the meaning of words.
Once more before I go.
To solve anything complex you have to choose a place to start. In the case of MH370 there are two. It was an accident, or someone was responsible. In the case of accident, it is both highly unlikely and impossible to prove.
In the case of deliberate act, it was either the pilot or someone else. That it was someone else is also highly unlikely and once again impossible to prove.
Current consensus is that the pilot did it, based more on elimination of other possibilities than evidence of his guilt. He appears to be a logical, intelligent man with an excellent reputation as a pilot. Why would a man like him do something like this?
First, we can look at the three separate acts he committed. His own suicide, the mass murder of his passengers and crew, and the concealment of the airplane.
Why did he have to kill himself? That is the essential question, and finding the answer lies at the very heart of the problem. One way to start is by working backwards from the ultimate result of what he did. He put the airplane where it would never be found. This did two things.
It eliminated any possibility of proving the pilot was responsible, and at the same time limited the insurance payout to the survivors of his victims.
The next question is how could he benefit from anything after he was dead? His reputation and pension would have been two of the most important things he left behind, and a reasonable place to begin. It has been almost nine years since this happened, and no hint of scandal or disgrace has surfaced to mar the legacy of Shah, in spite of what he did. But the question has to be asked. If hiding the airplane had something to do with salvaging his reputation and his pension, who would have the motivation or opportunity to do him this kind of harm?
The court case and verdict in that early evening in March 2014 triggered something that set him off. He was carrying out his final act within a few hours of leaving the courtroom. Once again working backward from there, his activism and conflict with the government are not hard to find.
He was a minority, a non Muslim in a Muslim country and a gay rights activist employed by a conservative, government owned airline. His enemies would have been close enough to know him very well.
The overturned sodomy conviction of his friend may have given him some optimism for change in public opinion and the law. It is no stretch of imagination to assume he became less discrete in his personal life, leaving himself open to the same charge his friend was facing. The reinstatement of his friend’s conviction would have sealed his fate. Loss of his job, reputation and pension. Lawful and legitimate prosecution and imprisonment.
The preceding paragraph is pure speculation, unsupported by any discoverable evidence. It is however a plausible bridge connecting and confirming known facts before and after. The probability that this is correct is at least as strong as any opposing argument that it is not.
Of one thing there is no doubt. If any of this is true Shah was ultimately successful in everything he set out to do. There is no hint of scandal or disgrace, his pension is intact, his adversaries were grievously harmed and there is nothing to prove he is guilty of anything. If there were ever to be such proof on finding the airplane, or disclosing the facts of his pending prosecution and dismissal in disgrace, the lawsuits would be overwhelming.. He should never have been allowed to captain that final flight.
This is not a popular solution. It is a great story, but not a great news story. It opens cans of worms no one wants any part of, it cannot be proved and does not change anything. But until something better turns up, this is as likely as any solution to the puzzle of why Shah killed all his passengers and crew, and then himself while putting the airplane where no one would find it.