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Old 1st Jan 2023, 06:22
  #307 (permalink)  
GBO
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 118
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By MickG0105

You may want to re-read. Some of your statements don’t make sense.

30-35 km is 16-19 NM from the 7th Arc. Using the BTO standard deviation for arc 7, the crash site can be up to 40 nautical miles from the seventh arc. That’s why they searched up to 40 NM from the arc at 38S.

It’s not 18:44UTC, but 0018:44 UTC. At that time I estimate it had drifted down to its max single engine service ceiling of ~ FL295. Left engine had failed at 2307:30 UTC (71 minutes and 14 seconds earlier) due to the left thrust lever remaining at the high thrust setting for 0.84M since TOPD (left autothrottle inop). The right thrust lever with the operative autothrottle reduced to a very low setting to reduce speed to 268KIAS at TOPD. Large thrust asymmetry at TOPD results in a larger fuel exhaustion time between the left and right engines.

Total fuel exhaustion is at 0018:44 UTC, 46 seconds prior to arc 7 at 0019:30 UTC.
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