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Old 17th Dec 2022, 22:34
  #134 (permalink)  
GBO
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 118
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Originally Posted by flightleader
You have no evidence to suggest the aircraft was on autopilot.
You have no evidence to suggest the crew was unresponsive at that time where the plane was near Banda.
You have no evidence to suggest Left A/T was failed.

You suggested that route! Why are you asking me? You don’t even know what you posted earlier?
Correct, without the FDR/CVR there is no concrete evidence, however there are clues which strongly suggest the autopilot was engaged with an unresponsive crew.

The primary radar recordings showing the aircraft tracking via VAMPI-MEKAR-NILAM.
The inability of the GES to connect to the AES at 1803 via the left HGA.
The crew not answering any calls at 1840 or 2314.
The aircraft continuing on a constant heading from the statistics of the satellite data.
The aircraft continuing until fuel exhaustion, 7 hours after the event at IGARI.
The fuel flow analysis pointing to an exact fuel exhaustion at the seventh arc.
The lack of Flight ID at SATCOM log on, which was not manually cleared via the MCDU.
The exact timing of the 1825 log on at NILAM.
The simplicity of flightpath, compare Captain Mike Glynn’s WSPR flightpath.
The rate of descent observed by BFO at the seventh arc at fuel exhaustion: 15,000feet/min
The position of the flaps at fuel exhaustion as determined by the ATSB.
The condition of the debris findings.
The beaching location and timing of debris findings.
The barnacle analysis on the debris.
The servicing of the oxygen bottle prior to departure by Malaysia, and equipment adjacent to it.

Yes, no concrete evidence, but we have a good idea where it is, most likely inside the seventh arc in the unsearched region at 34S 93E.

Where do you think it is? I haven’t seen your flightpath.
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