Originally Posted by
DanV2
VA has been given till end of March 2023 to utilise their HND authority or to lose it.
My money is on VA letting that authority lapse. Wet-leases (by another carrier on behalf of VA) on the HND route are not permitted under the IASC determination.
Although VA could operate BNE-GUM-HND on a 738 (with no fifth freedom allowed on the GUM-HND-GUM legs), chances of that happening would be 0% to none.
If the max 8’s appear by March, they will be able to do CNS-HND fairly comfortably (although there may be some payload restrictions). It will be a long slog on a narrow body though.