PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Virgin Australia - Phoenix Rising from the Ashes?
Old 11th May 2022, 22:28
  #55 (permalink)  
SHVC
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
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Originally Posted by 43Inches
QF is slowly but surely sending itself broke with the flooding mentality. The company has gone from a huge tangible business to something that if sold off today would leave the shareholders owning money to fold it up. And even if they beat VA and Rex at the domestic game, by the time it's done the next entrant will start up and so on and on. GA died the same way, CASA had a hand, but a lot of the large operators believe that undercutting is the only way to do business. Anyone who thinks $6 billion of debt is going to suddenly vaporise when rates are going up has to be kidding. Even at 5% that's $300million in profit going to keep the debt at $6B, Ie Rex annual revenue just to stop debt spiraling.
The “professionals” disagree with you strongly. Article in todays Australian business section.

“So quick is its pivot that top stock picker Mark Landau – from L1 Capital – believes Qantas’s share price is set to surge. “I think the shares could double over the next couple years if management can achieve their (financial year 2024) targets,” says Landau”

And this

“Landau’s prediction puts Qantas shares at about $11 over two years, while 12-month predictions from investment bank equity analysts range from $7.10 a share at Morgan Stanley, $6.90 at Barrenjoey, $6.40 at JPMorgan, and $6.30 at Jarden. Qantas shares closed at $5.31 on Wednesday.”
SHVC is online now