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Old 25th May 2021, 04:27
  #345 (permalink)  
LandingCheck
 
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Originally Posted by etudiant
In fairness to the European politicians, there is no indications that increased military spending will provide any benefit
The actual problems such as an un-integrated Islamic minority, sub replacement birth rates and block obsolescence of European industry in the face of Chinese competition are not subject to military solutions.
Indeed, increased military spending towards some arbitrarily set 2% of GNP seems irrational at best.
All of Europe would be better off if Russia and its resources were fully integrated into Europe, rather than having it pushed into a reluctant alliance with China.
Is this so hard to see?
While the problems you point out are real, the solution you posit is simply not realistic in the space-time continuum in which I live.

Russia, firstly, has all of the problems (an large and possibly hostile Islamic population, low birth rates and essentially dying or dead value-added design/manufacturing sector) at a level that makes Europe look positively dynamic.

Second, the decision maker(s) (to be charitable) have no intention to serve in Heaven when they can reign in Hell, as far as the actual costs of European integration to realize any benefit, decades in the future.

The Russian alliance with China is borne of necessity, but even it just represents another brick in the wall of self-defeating Russian foreign policy that has at its base some insane notion of a once and future MittelEuropa superarmy marching under some modern Polish Charles the XII because really what the US and Western Europe want to do is some regime change in Moscow. Really, the Russian elite believes a version of reality like this, which is one of the few ways anyone who routinely selects the correct shoe/foot combination would believe the Baltic states are some proto-fascist lodgment for the 23 remaining operational panzers to roll into downtown St. Petersburg, versus an indefensible resource sump for Western defense investment.

Ultimately, Russian political and economic integration into Europe will only happen if the Russian elite decides they want Russia to be a normal country, and that will require a fundamental, perhaps impossible shift in the Russian psyche.
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