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Old 23rd Mar 2021, 01:52
  #9 (permalink)  
MickG0105
 
Join Date: May 2016
Location: Sunshine Coast
Posts: 1,173
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Originally Posted by Fujiroll76
It’s been confirmed that the Oct 2021 ramp up will include 40% of pre COVID levels, increasing to 70% in the following 12 months to Oct 2022. This indicates the 787/330 will be at 100% capacity with the remaining 30% set aside for the potential 380 return 12 months later (Nov 2023)

insert a 20% reduction in flight crew who took VR / ER who won’t be returning.
insert the LH crew who are starting to transition to SH as of next BP

Is it just me or should some serious recruitment, be at the very least being discussed at the round table...
12% of the list are greater than 60 years as it stands today..most are unlikely to be around come 350 ULR ops.

Theres cause for optimism.
There's generally cause for optimism just as there's generally cause for pessimism when looking at the same circumstance - it depends on your perspective and appetite for risk.

We're about to see a preview of how robust any meaningful recovery is likely to be courtesy of the 'Trans-Tasman Bubble' - an extraordinarily poor but perhaps prescient choice of words to be sure, bubbles being fragile things needing only one prick to burst them. Any old how, semantics aside, if the Trans-Tasman quarantine-free travel zone holds up then you can probably start charting a path back to something vaguely approaching 2019 levels over the next 9-12 months.
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