Whilst it seems that the sources for these large recruitment forecasts are perhaps skewed, the vaccine is coming and by next year. And to think that the public by and large will not travel again would be equally skewed. Any airline surviving this will (next year IMHO) require a large recruitment drive to cope with the demand that will inevitably be needed and the large layoffs now will be assumed as a viable source to cover this. The problem? a good percentage will have taken early retirement, many will be loathed to return to such a volatile industry, having retrained and upskilled in other industries. The perception that the training industry has cadets clamouring is definitely not true despite the colourful advertising stating the time is now to invest in an fATPL, and understandably so as finance for such is not on offer from mum and dad, or banks. I would suggest the training providers will be the sector to suffer greater losses moving forward, and the LCC cadet-reliant business models to be coming to an end in any meaningful way that allows their (LCC) expansion at rates Pre-COVID. There will be a skilled pilot shortage but not at the levels forecast I would offer.