Interesting times ahead, I think. There is a good number of pilots aged 55+ around me who are taking their pensions and calling it a day, quite often without having been made redundant. Some are concerned with the immediate situation (i.e. being in an above-average risk age group and having to go through crammed airport terminals, aeroplanes, hotels etc). Others were already tired of it and waiting for the moment to pull out and enjoy retirement. Many younger guys also looking into alternative careers. So, it might as well be that a couple of years after the mother of all crises we'll see the mother of all shortages.