I agree. Reports are light on detail, so I am speculating. The wreckage seems too close to come from an explosion at height and known Stirling controlled ditchings left the aircraft in one piece, suggesting this one hit out of control.
This Stirling crash into the sea has images that may be comparable. We will know more when the aircraft is raised.
The Markermeer has been a shallow lake/reservoir without tides since the crash so the pieces are unlikely to have moved significantly since then.
We may not find all the aircrew as some may have parachuted into the surrounding waters, drowned and being lost without trace.
The aircraft was returning so probably didn’t have bombs on board, there remaining a small probability of a hang-up.
Although I have a particular interest in the Short Stirling, my wife’s first husband being the son of an air gunner killed in one fairly close to where this was found, I’ve taken enough of this thread so will sign off now. Thanks for reading.