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Old 10th May 2020, 07:57
  #21 (permalink)  
cats_five
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
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Originally Posted by cappt
That's good to see! This is a country on the move, we can't sit still for too long, people are getting edgy. The 2.2 million forecasted dead by that UK expert (cheater) was a hoax.
It wasn't a hoax. It was the forecast if no preventative measures were taken.

"In the (unlikely) absence of any control measures or spontaneous changes in individual behavior, we would expect a peak in mortality (daily deaths) to occur after approximately 3 months. In such scenarios, given an estimated R0 of 2.4, we predict 81% of the G.B. and U.S. populations would be infected over the course of the epidemic… In total, in an unmitigated epidemic, we would predict approximately 510,000 deaths in G.B. and 2.2 million in the U.S., not accounting for the potential negative effects of health systems being overwhelmed on mortality."

https://www.cato.org/blog/how-one-mo...eaths-covid-19

Remember it's far from over, so the numbers are far from complete.
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