Originally Posted by
Big Pistons Forever
The scary part is the standard playbook for a dictatorship dealing with internal strife is a foreign adventure to distract the populace. Personally I think there is a increasing probability China will invade Taiwan in late October. The US will be distracted with the presidential elections so they will not react militarily, and China will use the invasion to rally the people
Not likely.
The notion is a bit laughable. The evidence is the public in China are beginning to return to life as normal, with no large signs of discontent. No where in the world is that evident with any lockdown really, even the gun toting rednecks in America protesting would be in a minority. China has bought several hundred million people out of poverty into the middle class in the last few decades, why would you think that the public at large is ready for revolution?
And China is not on the verge of invading Taiwan, the chance of that happening is about the same as this virus being engineered in a lab in Wuhan. Over 100 flights a day (normally) between the mainland and Taiwan, trade agreements signed between the two within the last decade. 400,000 Taiwanese work on the mainland, tens of thousands of mainland student on exchange in Taiwanese schools. Doesn’t sound like mortal enemies on the brink of war to me.
China’s SOP is economic and trade not military domination. There’s no point fighting a bloody war with your own kin and trade partners for no real benefit. Money usually trumps ideology.