Originally Posted by
Uplinker
According to the CDC, 3,000 people have died from the Covid19 virus but 20,000 people have died from Flu in the current season.
According to a virologist on the radio yesterday: 1/5 of people exposed will catch Covid19. Only 1/5 of those will display symptoms. So that's 4% of people who have been exposed, by my maths, or 1 in 25. Of those, most will just have a fever and a dry cough.
Time to stop panicking.
Wash your hands - with water and soap - more than usual and take multi vitamins and minerals.
Your stats are mostly wrong. The one that is sort of accurate is that 1/5 of us will get it... 20%... that's the low end of figures with many saying as high as 60% but lets go with your 20%. The rest of the numbers are just wrong. 14% of cases require hospitalization. 5% of total cases require an ICU and a ventilator. 1% are dying (higher in countries where hospitals have been overrun like Italy where it is 3-4%). Let's take 20% of the US population... that's 65.5 million that will have it in a year... 9.2 million will be hospitalized and 655,000 will die. That's the US alone and again assumes only 1/5 will get it. That's using all the CDC and WHO's latest numbers. We only have 350,000 open hospital beds nationwide for the 9.2 million also, when the hospitals get overrun the mortality rate worldwide climbs from 1 to 3-4+% so it can get worse.