Originally Posted by
FlareArmed2
Only if the rate (1% in your example) stays constant day-by-day (or whatever the period is). However it is not staying constant but declining (mostly) every single day--the data shows this clearly. So it is not exponential.
However, you are relying on Chinese data which is inherently inaccurate due to political circumstances. The data release of this virus could also be 'controlled' to avoid wide spread hysteria and social instability within the Chinese mainland.......One of their greatest fears as it leads to revolutions.
I would be sitting back and waiting to see the 'peak' of infections before deducing any conclusions from what is known as flawed data........