Originally Posted by
stagger
My point is that where you have a % daily increase in total cases - it is incorrect to claim that it's "no longer exponential". Any daily % increase in total cases can be represented with an exponential function as I've shown above.
Even if the total number of cases only increases 1% each day - that's still technically exponential - although it doesn't fit with public understanding of the term.
Only if the rate (1% in your example) stays constant day-by-day (or whatever the period is). However it is not staying constant but declining
(mostly) every single day--the data shows this clearly. So it is not exponential.