Originally Posted by
Winemaker
Well, these comments are deteriorating quickly.
On the science side, according to the John Hopkins CSSE counts, in Hubei there have been 13,522 cases with 426 deaths; this is a 3% death rate. Of the entire remaining cases worldwide there are 6479 infections and 12 deaths, for a rate of 0.18%. This either means cases are being massively under-reported in Hubei or there is a lag from infection to outcome. Seems odd.
The New York Times had an article yesterday claiming that the hospitals in Wuhan are saturated, there is a hundreds long wait for ambulances and people are being turned away everywhere. And dying at home, undetected. The article painted a picture reminiscent of the black death.
In any event, we know both cases and deaths are underreported, and we know that people take quite awhile to die, so the deaths are lagging cases by probably a week, give or take.
i am looking for a reason for hope too, but still haven’t found it.