NEJM noted the saturation of the analysis process for cases from "8 JAN" (data actually shows that occurred the day before). For some period thereafter, there would be a likely underreporting, and then at a later time a slight increase in reported rate as the tail catches up to the head.
took the available info and lagged dates for the Chinese and Non Chinese cases. Even with the awareness of the problem since late December, the Non Chinese cases are showing a progression in case numbers that are close to the Chinese experience, with a 22 day lag. Too early to say that any action in the international response has been particularly effective as yet. The numbers over the next 7 days will tell the story. The fatality overseas in Philippines was of a Chinese national. Fatality rates over the next 7 days will give a picture as to what extent the ACE2 receptor plays in the progression of the illness.
Asymptomatic transfer sucks, and that suggests reduction in contacts is a wise move. The virus like all corona viruses is quite large, and is not aerosolised, so surface and droplet control are tools to be applied.
x=22