Originally Posted by
Australopithecus
You guys are arguing about a three day sample in which several factors could be at play including
a refining of the rate value based on the larger numbers
a shortage of test kits, especially outside of Wuhan, and including none in Indonesia and Philippines before Friday
a reluctance to report
beneficial effects of infection control.
early days still.
Reported cases on top, deaths below
My first comment addressed the week's data to 1 February. In any event I acknowledged that there could be some issues with reviewing a small data sample and that we should wait and see.
My point was that what the full data set currently shows does not look exponential growth. And it's just misinformed to say that it does. And it's that sort of misinformation that is unhelpful in dealing with these sort of outbreaks. Underplaying the threat is certainly dangerous but so to is whipping up hysteria.
Originally Posted by
*Lancer*
Number of new confirmed cases may just reflect the maximum testing rate.
Or it could reflect the maximum daily administrative output for whomever is entering the data. It could be plenty of things.