PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - 737NGs have cracked 'pickle forks' after finding several in the jets.
Old 10th Oct 2019, 13:51
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nerf
 
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My guess is that Gol inspected primarily 800s, while Southwest inspected primarily 700s so far.

Gol grounded 11 out of their fleet of 115. So just under 10% so far. And it's highly unlikely they inspected them all because many of their planes are less than 7 years old. That number will probably go up as they continue inspecting.

Gol flies mostly 800 series - I count 91 800s and 24 700s.

The Southwest fleet is mostly 700s. They have 207 800s, but I'm guessing they started by inspecting the older 700s.

There have been 5,104 800 series jets produced vs only 1,164 700 series. If this is primarily an 800 problem, that's bad for Boeing.

Southwest might just get winged by this - they have plenty of 700s. Ryanair, which flies almost exclusively 800s, could see big losses - even if their fleet is new enough to have no cracks(unlikely), the book value of their fleet (which they borrow against) would plummet.

One interesting fact: Boeing's weight in the Dow Jones is 9.65%. Far and away more than any other company. If Boeing gets wrecked by this, the economy gets hit hard.

Last edited by nerf; 10th Oct 2019 at 18:31.
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