Originally Posted by
Icarus2001
If anyone thinks that this will happen you are crazy. Too many vested interests and money at stake.
That’s an awful lot of faith, straw clutching and praying considering what an absolute mess this entire negotiation process has been. If you crash out at the end of March, none of your licenced personnel are certified to operate, no G registered aircraft is certified as airworthy.
Now there’s likely to be some kind of workaround there (we hope). Where there’s no workaround is the UK has virtually no bilaterals with other countries anymore for air travel, they’ve all been replaced by EU ones. Case and point EU-US openskies replacing Bermuda. These things take quite a while to negotiate. If there’s a hard Brexit in March, UK airlines can’t carry fare paying passengers to the US, EU and most other countries (and vice versa).
Now that hurts every airline, but most especially the UK airlines, putting them in the position of weakness at the outset of negotiations. Have fun with the Trump and Jinping administrations in that case.