Originally Posted by
Hotel Tango
Reading the Milburns' comments above all I can say is that if I stopped flying with every airline which has had an accident, I guess I wouldn't be doing much flying today! I appreciate that accidents can be attributed to poor training etc., but many more can be attributed to a multitude of other causes which can happen to any airline. One fatality in 45 years is pretty good going and it would certainly not put me off flying with Air Niugini today.
The amount of fatalities over a certain time do not allow to conclude a certain risk.
It is important to factor in the number of flights done over that time. Big airlines with a thousand or more flights per day would have an accident every month at the same accident rate.
The Space Shuttle program had an accident rate of about 1%, that would mean about 10 crashes per day at the place I work at...