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Old 22nd Jul 2018, 08:16
  #47 (permalink)  
The Old Fat One
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
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You guys seem to be enjoying and talking up the prospect of Aviation Armageddon come March 2019.
Not Armageddon (and I don't read that too many folk are suggesting it). But airlines in general are not known for their financial robustness and things won't have to get too "messy" for casualties to occur. The EU and UK have locked themselves into a very obvious and unsubtle game of chicken. The EU won't cave on any of their red lines until the last possible minute and TM knows if she has to surrender one more of hers, she is toast and the UK constitutional fall out will guarantee a hard brexit, unless a rapid delay can be negotiated by whoever ends up with the reins in the UK. All of this means uncertainty will continue until the 11th hour and by then damage will have started to occur in this industry irrespective of brexit outcomes. How much damage and what the consequences are for individual airlines (and their crews) remains to be seen...no one knows the answer to that, what is weird is that quite a few people seem to think they do???

PS

Nemrytter, thanks for the link. That's bed-time reading for later...nice to have something substantial on this for once.
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