Yes, my numbers do not include the bases as I was responding to Air Profit who was posting about the Hong Kong based officers.
As for bases I have an opinion for North America only. Canada will continue to see a trickle of Captains retire. None of the FO's are leaving as job opportunities in Canada pay significantly less then CX. As for the US bases, I do not see many US Captains leave as those are a fairly young demographic. As for FO's I don't think we will see many more leave for various reasons.
- Some do not have the 1000 PIC jet/turbo prop and/or degree requirement
- Some are in their 50's and do not want to start over
- Some of the younger FOs have significant financial liabilities which makes the move to a new employer very difficult
- Some are Canadians
- Some want to come to Hong Kong for their Command
- Some, well you know .........
Having said that we might see maybe 10-15 more leave on the US bases in the coming 24 months.
Everyone thinks there are tons of guys leaving on the US bases. This is not the case, if I recall correctly less then 20 officers left in the last 12 months. Which is still a high resignation rate of over 10% for the US base.
Last edited by GTC58; 31st Mar 2018 at 18:40.