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Old 16th Feb 2018, 03:47
  #19 (permalink)  
Farman Biplane
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: CLK
Posts: 380
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I forecast that the effect of hiring low/no hour pilots will not present until these initial pilots are now Captains and C+Trainers in the majority. This is still at least 10 years off for CX, but it is on the way.

It is then ,when an abnormal situation arises (eg. stall recovery, spiral dive recovery, major systems losses, not previously seen in canned training events, etc..), there will be some low quality responses and the precursors to disaster exist.

A high hours captain has a high hour experience of “normal ops” but very low exposure to “non-normal” situations if they haven’t previously been a pilot prior to starting as a cadet/SO. Ex-GA, commuter, small airline and military pilots have had significant exposure to events that are not canned and are not covered in the continuation training syllabus.

I predict that many other large airlines may reach this situation prior to CX. Let’s hope that the powers that be recognise and react to the threat in a timely manner. $afety is a priority just not necessarily No.1 priority at the moment.
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