odoberon
Here is what i believe to be one of the source interviews with megan kelly on Fox, she appears to be far more objective than your average talking head, I did not hear in the interview that exact quote. Anyway, the link is there. Thats my source. I'm confident he said it…and twice. And I find it pretty significant. |
I took a look at post 7124. I have to say that I don't buy this. It basically says that the antenna on the aircraft is tied to an extremely fast computer chip that is guaranteed to send a response to the "ping" from the satellite within a few nanoseconds of receipt. I don't have any documentation to back this, but I find this extremely improbable, especially for a 1980's system (classic aero). And, more generally, no one writes networking code like this, not even in perfectly controlled conditions, let alone for a noisy 36000 km long satellite link. The computer in charge of sending the response may have other things to do, it will reply eventually, but realtime response is not guaranteed. The key point here is that I am NOT requiring a response in a nanosecond. The response could be half a second later - 500,000,000 nanoseconds later. The terminal just counts ticks while a far more pedestrian processor prepares the response and sets it up ready to be sent, and it is then sent at the right "tick". The satellite knows the defined protocol and so can eliminate the delay, giving it access to the actual "flight" time of the message. But I also said these are communication systems, not navigation systems. The overall system is designed to maximise the data they can handle as it is data that makes money. They could at one extreme simply say we have no idea where each user station is, we will provide in the protocol a "window" wide enough to accommodate the user being anywhere over the 1/3 of the globe. That would mean the satellite had wasted potential fee earning capacity waiting for the full potential window for each and every communication exchange, when in fact it can reduce, though not eliminate the window. My explanation was, as I had said, simplified. In practice there are a whole load of other complications, spreading data bits over many carrier cycles and error handling codes etc etc all of which will introduce more variability, but at the heart the system is operating at 1600 MHz, giving an inherent timing capability irrespective of GPS time stamps etc, with the potential of measuremment to quite high levels of accuracy. In practice the level will not approach this - but talk of "miliseconds" and hundreds of Km is not appropriate. The underlying principles may be designed in the 1980s - as was GPS - but we are not talking valves and clockwork here! I say again, I can go to my hardware shop and buy for a few £/$/Eu a handheld laser tape measure that can fire and time a pulse of light sufficient to measure distance to a few mm. Give it a more stable clock - which the satellite will have, and using the same principle of counting ticks you can time to great accuracy over very long periods, eliminate the "processing" time at the receiver by specifying how many ticks later the reply is sent, and there you have a system with the potential of astonishing accuracy - just as GPS has. But one last repeat - Inmarsat is a comms system designed to support comms. It is talked of as a bent pipe, but that is a great simplification. The content of the data being exchanged may appear to pass through a bent pipe, but there is a lot going on over and above passing the data to keep the pipe itself working. |
Center of gravity theory.
if yours and all other theory's about flying further is correct without electrical or any control who will take care about trimming,we also have to know the c.g. of the aircraft, because the c.g. will shift and there will be no trimming so the aircraft will climb or descend during fuel burn.
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"I am an ATC and the transcript also surprised me.
I guess the problem is that it is a translation from English to Chinese and then to English. However, the lack of read back is not explained by incorrect translation." I lived in China (next door to the Air China Airbus rep - thereby hung a few tales...) for a few years. Believe you me, a translation into and then out of Chinese, a language very different to English, can very easily explain the lack of read back! |
Medan airport ATC did they pick anything up? If it came back there way as suggested they should.
There is also a fair size Base close to there with a fair few fighter jets. Again not heard anything from them? |
From their own data, Inmarsat can't say whether it was going North or South: they inferred that North was unlikely, as someone would have seen it go by. The south path hypothesis (fire - decompression - zombie a/c), however unlikely, is the only one that allows to save face for all countries (eastern and western) affected in some way by this 'event'. Any other explanation would point to incompetence or worse, misbehaviour by some governments. So I guess we'll have to buy that one. |
castleford tiger Medan airport ATC did they pick anything up? If it came back there way as suggested they should. There is also a fair size Base close to there with a fair few fighter jets. Again not heard anything from them? Still a lot of unanswered questions. They must have something that area of airspace very busy. The investigators and search coordinators in Malaysia who are running this SAR op may need to keep checking all reports and sightings they have be given. Of course we don't know what they have been given, only snippets and releases from the so called Us officials and Chinese news conferences etc have been leaked to the media. Maybe something they were given days ago and discounted previously may be more relevant now, and needs further investigation. I just hope the foreign investigators who have volunteered their services from different bureaus are being utilized to their fullest. The search window is so large now. No stone should be left unturned. |
I noticed the wording at the time of interview and wondered about the "steadily away from the satellite". At last military radar fix the plane was two ping hours north of the equator so would need one hour (maybe two) coming towards the satellite to cross the equator on the journey south. Was he referring to the last few pings or the continuous set?
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Nigel Osborne
a Transponder that someone just can't turn off with a flick of a switch. Needs to be fitted so it cannot be tampered with from the cockpit, if that is indeed the actual reason of its lost signal. |
@felix505
The archived radio recording is silent at the time indicated in the transcript. The other times indicated in the transcript also do not bear these communications, through to 01:19:29. Several posters have stated that ATC is only available for sectors west and north of KL. Edited to add: I meant listening in to ATC, not actual control. obviously! |
Nigel Osborne
Also they need to come up with a Transponder that someone just can't turn off with a flick of a switch. Needs to be fitted so it cannot be tampered with from the cockpit, if that is indeed the actual reason of its lost signal. |
facts
Have I got this right?
The secondary response disappeared, then primary return disappeared. R/T shut down..... Did somebody continuously track the a/c after that..who...verified? So, the a/ may have disintegrated, it may have dropped below radar cover. Maybe Blind Velocity Speed (unlikely at cruising speed and altitude) or Tangential Fading. (Radar Type in use ?) So who continuously tracked the primary return? If it was not continuously tracked it becomes unidentified. Who then re-identified it and how ? A primary return way off the flight planned track ?? I don`t think so. |
McLaughlin might not have meant that all (eight?) distances (0111-0811) to the satellite were monotonically increasing - perhaps just the final few.
If he did mean that all eight distances were steadily increasing, then to accord with the timings, the number of possible routes likely isn't very large. |
I just find it difficult to comprehend, that after 2 weeks, still no sure on where it is.
Surely if they can spot the plate numbers on cars from satellites, then surely they can figure out 370 and it's location, if intact. Also, once it disappeared, I would like to really know, what and whom the Malaysian ATC, contact immediately. I think, there is a lot that we are not been told, for some odd conspiracy. |
One of the many puzzles I have lies in the (by now basic) assumption that the a/c for some reason 'tracked' along the 40degree Inmarsat arc. Do we not think that would be a remarkable co-incidence?
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Originally Posted by nitpicker330
(Post 8393380)
Regarding the possible report of reaching FL450.
This was from Primary radar data readings and estimations. Today at FL380 our actual GPS ALT was 40,300' So a 2,300' difference, this I've seen on every flight and can be up to 2,500' difference. It's therefore reasonable that the 45,000' primary radar altitude above sea level was up to 2,500' above the Aircrafts pressure Altimeter reading of FL425 to 430. Hence the A/C wasn't as high as we think? Not that it matters much. Good point. Pressure altitude is NOT the actual altitude. |
BOAC, either "track" is an area of best probability X nm wide. Depending upon the angular precision, and the number of "degree circles" it may have crossed, the thickness of that band looks to me to get into a few hundred miles either side of the theoretical center. I don't like thinking of those arcs as a "track" but as "areas of probability" that have variation between estimated points/times.
I did a little back of the napkin math. One degree of error or imprecision is in the range of 600 nm. I am on board with your raised eyebrow regarding such a coincidence. |
I understand why the pilots need to be able to switch off the transponder in case of malfunction. However, would it be possible to have a secondary transponder on board which would be automatically activated in the event that the primary was switched off? Perhaps the backup could even be battery powered, and could be set to squawk a particular "warning" code. (A warning code indicating there -could- be a problem, rather than an emergency code indicating hijack, etc.) Is there a reason that wouldn't work? It would be unlikely that two different transponders with two different power supplies would both have electrical malfunctions at the same time, so there would be no reason to shut both off.
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However, would it be possible to have a secondary transponder on board which would be automatically activated in the event that the primary was switched off? This makes sense, having two transponders as a measure of redundancy. Large airliners travel in dense traffic control areas in the departure and arrival phases of flight. Having the transponder working so that ATC knows who you are, and where you are, is to me a critical requirement, both for safety and for timely arrivals and sequencing. |
Source of Chinese Image
From the Daily Telegraph online
"11.53 Here's the latest information from SASTIND, China's State Administration of Science, Technology and Industry for National Defence, via state news agency Xinhua: Captured by the high-definition earth observation satellite "Gaofen-1" at around 12 a.m. on March 18 Beijing Time, the imagery spotted the object at 44 degrees, 57 minutes south latitude, and 90 degrees, 13 minutes east longitude, in the southern Indian Ocean, the SASTIND said" |
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