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-   -   Malaysian Airlines MH370 contact lost (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/535538-malaysian-airlines-mh370-contact-lost.html)

Cows getting bigger 5th Apr 2014 21:02

Am I reading this right? Are the hugely knowledgeable (and most welcome) posters saying that the subsurface pinger signal may be subject to range extending effects just as HF radio waves are bounced/skipped off the ionosphere?

Pontius Navigator 5th Apr 2014 21:06

CGB, yes, but that is the start of a new problem.

IMHO the Chinese ship may have gained a convergence zone contact and may well not have recognised it as such. It is the sudden signal loss which is a clue.

If they held it for 15 minutes the first time, as 2 nm, then they may have been crossing the annulus. The 90 second contact may have been just clipping it.

I did post about the deep sound channel a few days ago but it was modded out.

jmmilner 5th Apr 2014 21:19


Am I reading this right? Are the hugely knowledgeable (and most welcome) posters saying that the subsurface pinger signal may be subject to range extending effects just as HF radio waves are bounced/skipped off the ionosphere?
Basically yes. Differences in the properties of a material, be it something as simple as a glass fiber or as complex as the atmosphere or the ocean can cause signals (acoustic, electromagnetic, or optical (a special case of EM)) to be bend. If the conditions are correct, the bending tends to refocus the energy of the wave in a channel so that the loss in energy becomes linear in distance rather than the normal quadratic (1/r^2). For those old enough to remember early microwave (not oven), the medium becomes a natural wave guide.

Physics may not find MH370 but the laws it provides still do provide rational explanations for all manner of natural phenomenon which have come up as a result. Sadly the "laws" of human nature don't.

Irish21 5th Apr 2014 21:33

It's interesting that the Chinese are always the first...
 
It's interesting that the Chinese are always the first to "find" something with regards to this aircraft.....first to spot floating "items" on their satellites photos now the first to "hear" the ping but did not record what they heard.

Mesoman 5th Apr 2014 21:41


Am I reading this right? Are the hugely knowledgeable (and most welcome) posters saying that the subsurface pinger signal may be subject to range extending effects just as HF radio waves are bounced/skipped off the ionosphere?
No. At the high ultrasonic frequency used by the pinger, attenuation with distance is very significant, so the signal at detectable levels just doesn't go very far.

At much lower frequencies, where passive sonar is used for submarine detection and tracking, signals can travel hundreds or even thousands of miles. They are refracted by the thermocline (an area of rapid vertical temperature change) a few hundred feet below the surface. In that sense, it is similar to tropospheric ducting of radio waves and perhaps a little analogous to HF ionospheric "skip" propagation.

mm43 5th Apr 2014 21:46


Originally Posted by Robin Clark

... which means that either the speed of the aircraft was changing , or it was turning fairly slowly left from its southerly heading.

The increasing westerly magnetic variation would provide the direction change you are suggesting, provided the a/c was in HDG mode of say 180°M from west of Banda Aceh.

The Ancient Geek 5th Apr 2014 22:00

To summarise, the 37KHz pings heard near the surface (if true) indicate that wreckage is on the bottom somewhere nearby.

It is not, however, a simple job to narrow the search and determine an exact location because the signal could have bounced around in an underwater mountain range and been deflected by temperature and salinity layers.

The next part of the job, therefore, is to get listening devices as deep as possible whilst avoiding collision with the mountains. This requires specialist kit and is not easy.

This is going to take time and the batteries are nearing their end. It is therfore likely that a deep water sidescan survey will be required, the good bit is that the search area is now much smaller.

When wreckage is eventually located it will still take months rather than weeks to recover anything using UAVs

OPENDOOR 5th Apr 2014 23:00


A black box detector deployed by the Haixun 01 picked up the signal at around 25 degrees south latitude and 101 degrees east longtitude. It is yet to be established whether it is related to the missing jet.
Does anyone know what the "...black box detector..." is? Is the Haixun 01 using a towed pinger locator?

From a ULD patent;


Experience during past recovery operations has shown the range of the current conventional ULD design to be approximately one mile.
One mile is about 1600m the depth at 25 S 101 E has been quoted as greater than 4000m so roughly 2500m of cable minimum needed. Specialist equipment surly?

ex_matelot 5th Apr 2014 23:06


To summarise, the 37KHz pings heard near the surface (if true) indicate that wreckage is on the bottom somewhere nearby.

It is not, however, a simple job to narrow the search and determine an exact location because the signal could have bounced around in an underwater mountain range and been deflected by temperature and salinity layers.

The next part of the job, therefore, is to get listening devices as deep as possible whilst avoiding collision with the mountains. This requires specialist kit and is not easy.

This is going to take time and the batteries are nearing their end. It is therfore likely that a deep water sidescan survey will be required, the good bit is that the search area is now much smaller.

When wreckage is eventually located it will still take months rather than weeks to recover anything using UAVs
Once an area of search is established - sonobuoys and towed array will make short work of it. Probably other assets able to find it also...issuieng strong hints at where to look.


Well nothing's been found in the previous "areas of interest". If 25s 101e does prove to be the final resting place, there will be a lot of explaining to do by the likes on Inmarsat, and the Australian defense forces who's radar seemingly missed it
A naive assumption. Why would a nation claim to have / or not to have radar coverage over any given range? See my above.

Passagiata 5th Apr 2014 23:17

Australian foreign minister on television: "nothing confirmed, please don't speculate and please wait until Angus Houston confirms one way or the other".

flyingtoAdel 5th Apr 2014 23:23

RSCU75 is currently firing-up at Perth. It will be interesting to see the outbound track, perhaps indicative of the location of the Chinese ship evidence. Out of interest a Falcon 900 owned by a company associated with the AMSA SAR aircraft has been departing out of Canarvan to the west for extended periods for a number of days on a track consistent with the newer northerly search areas. It was apparent almost a day before any announcement was made that the search area had again shifted north by a significant amount.

Airbubba 5th Apr 2014 23:52


RSCU75 is currently firing-up at Perth. It will be interesting to see the outbound track, perhaps indicative of the location of the Chinese ship evidence.
Rescue 75 is now airborne. It is a P-8A from VP-16, the War Eagles out of Navy Jacksonville, Florida.

Initial track seems to be 284 degrees.

p.j.m 5th Apr 2014 23:56


Originally Posted by Airbubba (Post 8420792)
Rescue 75 is now airborne. It is a P-8A from VP-16, the War Eagles out of Navy Jacksonville, Florida.

Initial track seems to be 284 degrees.

http://i.imgur.com/p1gMSMW.jpg

ampclamp 6th Apr 2014 00:28

I did read in the Chinese press that the ship was directed there by Australian authorities.

Airbubba 6th Apr 2014 00:40

Rescue 75 is cruising to the search area at FL325, I would assume this indicates MARSA.

From this morning's JACC media release:


The Australian Maritime Safety Authority (AMSA) has three separate search areas planned for today about 2,000 kilometres north west of Perth, which total approximately 216,000 square kilometres.

Weather in the search area is expected to be good with a cloud base of 2,500 feet and visibility greater than 10 kilometres.

Reports overnight that the Chinese ship, Haixun 01, has detected electronic pulse signals in the Indian Ocean related to MH370 cannot be verified at this point in time.
Search and recovery continues for Malaysian flight MH370

Bravo Romeo Alpha 6th Apr 2014 00:59

In addition, the Foreign Minister said that the report had come from a media reporter on the Chinese ship. As has been said its best to wait for confirmation by the search authorities.

finestkind 6th Apr 2014 01:26

Tend to agree with the” firsts” for China in relation to all the findings. As already pointed out China appears to be doing its own thing. Why was the ship outside the search area and if it was transiting would it not be quicker to do so without a towed array or can it detect without a towed array.

Conspiracy well yes but not really. Would you wish to reveal just how good your radar etc was. I guess coming from a culture that when you are told, by Government, something you just believe it your mind set is that this is how other cultures operate. So it possibly would be expected that if a ship was operating outside the search area and it was just there cause it just was would not raise questions in this culture.

Towhee 6th Apr 2014 01:31

acting autonomously?
 

. The decision to release the news via Chinese media rather than the Australian agency set up to co-ordinate the operation is likely to cause friction. CNN said an Australian source connected to the search said the centre had learned of the alert several hours earlier but had not been able to communicate directly with the Haixun. While other search crews report possible evidence connected to the flight directly to the joint research centre, the Chinese teams report it to Beijing first.
MH370: Chinese patrol ship detects ping near suspected location of plane | World news | theguardian.com

aviation_watcher 6th Apr 2014 01:45

Chinese patrol ship Hai Xun 01 searching for MH370
 
The Chinese patrol ship Hai Xun 01 does not want to have its location tracked since 23rd March

https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais...mmsi:412379930

Mesoman 6th Apr 2014 02:14

China detection is fishy, so to speak
 

Agree but given the size of a search area it is unlikely to have been covered, particularly by towed array which also leads into my other query “Why was the ship outside the search area and if it was transiting would it not be quicker to do so without a towed array or can it detect without a towed array.”
Not only that, the odds of it stumbling upon the beacon are very low. With detection ranges of only a few kilometers, only from a deep towed listener, it takes a very long time to cover a wide area.

I suppose they might have found debris using a side looking mapping sonar, but again, pretty unlikely.

Either the Chinese are extremely lucky, have undisclosed but very good intelligence as to the sunken wreckage location (not just surface wreckage), or are wrong about the report.

BTW... after 30 days, the beacon output is supposed to be down only 3 dB (half power).


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