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Beech Premier down on apprach RWY 15 WMSA

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Beech Premier down on apprach RWY 15 WMSA

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Old 21st Aug 2023, 17:54
  #61 (permalink)  
 
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As many times as I've looked at the video, seems to be an aircraft descending nose down, followed by an excursion Starboard, then a roll, then more Starboard. Looked like a Stall from controlled flight. Trending to knife edge still in a turn, then, two seconds before impact, a rapid roll and near vertical impact. The speed looks to be 160-180 knots...(wag) the lack of apparent attempts to recover is disturbing...
A case can be made that there was an initial (partial) recovery from the Stall, but with a wing dropping off starboard, followed by a descending right turn... perhaps a secondary Stall.
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Old 21st Aug 2023, 19:09
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Atlas 3591, just later in flight

I don't see stall AOA.
Looks like controlled flight.

Hope not.


Last edited by moosepileit; 21st Aug 2023 at 19:31.
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Old 21st Aug 2023, 22:12
  #63 (permalink)  
fdr
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Originally Posted by IanW
The named SIC doesn’t appear to be “Certificated” according to the FAA Airmen database. The named PIC held an A/RA390S rating, probably issued late March 2023
The aircraft is an SP-IFR aircraft, so no Co-pilot was legally required. The company appears to be operating §91.501(c)(3)(1), which is pretty vague on other requirements although §91.23 will be of interest to the feds undoubtedly. Under §61.55. the SIC may in fact have a qualification that has not shown up as yet in Oklahoma's records.

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Old 21st Aug 2023, 22:45
  #64 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by Concours77
As many times as I've looked at the video, seems to be an aircraft descending nose down, followed by an excursion Starboard, then a roll, then more Starboard. Looked like a Stall from controlled flight. Trending to knife edge still in a turn, then, two seconds before impact, a rapid roll and near vertical impact. The speed looks to be 160-180 knots...(wag) the lack of apparent attempts to recover is disturbing...
A case can be made that there was an initial (partial) recovery from the Stall, but with a wing dropping off starboard, followed by a descending right turn... perhaps a secondary Stall.
As many times as I've looked at the video, seems to be an aircraft descending nose down, followed by an excursion Starboard, then a roll, then more Starboard. Looked like a Stall from controlled flight. Trending to knife edge still in a turn, then, two seconds before impact, a rapid roll and near vertical impact. The speed looks to be 160-180 knots...(wag) the lack of apparent attempts to recover is disturbing...
A case can be made that there was an initial (partial) recovery from the Stall, but with a wing dropping off starboard, followed by a descending right turn... perhaps a secondary Stall.
  • but with a wing dropping off starboard, no wing fell off. How language is used counts, 2/3rd of the visitors to these pages have English as a second language.
  • near vertical impact. The last images of the aircraft are taken from a distance away, but clearly show the wing tip of the aircraft still obscuring the wing root, and with a 20 degree sweep wing leading edge, that indicates the nose down pitch is less than 20 degrees. The bank angle at that point is near vertical, but the exact body attitude can be determined, this is nowhere near "nearly vertical". Kinematically, it would be close to impossible to achieve a near vertical descent without achieving rates of roll and pitch that arise only with autorotation or coupling, and none of that occurred here, all of the rates are well within normal control derivatives.
  • As far as a stall goes, the known speed at the start is well above a stall that doesn't include aggravation. The flight path is consistent with having a problem that exceeds slightly the authority the pilot has in roll, and possibly yaw, but the latter is not indicated to be notable in the images.
  • An asymmetry of some matter has occurred, but that may just be the secondary condition from a symmetric failure where there is a slight lateral change in the flow conditions of the wing. Having a severe birdstrike outboard on a wing could result in such an asymmetry, as could the lift dumper actuation while ailerons are not neutral. An engine failure on an approach, and at such a speed should not result in a flight path like this if any action is taken to mitigate, and that action is obvious and well within the authorities of the control system.
There is no FDR in this case, the CVR will give good insight into the event, the wreckage will give some forensic evidence of aircraft state for some factors but not all. The ADSB data is supportive. Beech won't have an MCAB but the flight dynamics of this aircraft are well within the normal envelope of the aircraft so replay in the FF simulator will be indicative, with a good look at the QTG derivatives to validate the replay.

The potential for interference to occur is low, it would require a hostile act that impacts both pilots, and in country that has stringent weapons restrictions. Not impossible, but it is socially and politically out of the norm. Pahang is a pretty stable region of the country, and does better than many others, the local govt is not unpopular, and any such action would have to be from within the group, and there is no obvious rationale for that. But, not impossible, just improbable.

Last edited by fdr; 21st Aug 2023 at 23:14.
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Old 22nd Aug 2023, 06:36
  #65 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by sycamore
Looking at the cockpit photo there are 2 `yellow-topped knobs next to the throttles..are these `engine `run/stop` controls
Looks like they are simple single-function starter-energizer buttons - without any "stop" function. The only label on them is START 1 2

Jump to about 1:40 in the video.

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Old 23rd Aug 2023, 09:43
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A bit alarming no recovery action.
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