Norwegian Lay offs
Latest news 51 pilots loose their job in Spain and102 pilots unpaid leave untill april 2020. 😬 |
Oh dear. From the 787, or both fleets?
|
Yawn. When you have 18 aircraft grounded (plus however many should’ve been delivered by now) and 50 engines that need replacing/inspecting, you need fewer crew. Change the record. |
^^^^^
Probably has to rank as one of the most insensitive and crass postings I've read on here in quite some time. |
Originally Posted by Flightrider
(Post 10585086)
^^^^^
Probably has to rank as one of the most insensitive and crass postings I've read on here in quite some time. |
Post anything negative about Norwegian’s financial well-being and Vokes55 will be first to come out with his fingers between his ears and shouting that all is well. Just like Comical Ali standing in front of the American tanks rolling into Baghdad proclaiming the infidels were being driven out. Makes you wonder who he’s trying to convince. |
Originally Posted by Vokes55
(Post 10585077)
Yawn. When you have 18 aircraft grounded (plus however many should’ve been delivered by now) and 50 engines that need replacing/inspecting, you need fewer crew. Change the record. |
Originally Posted by Calmcavok
(Post 10585291)
What’s your problem?? I’ll assume you’ve never been through a redundancy. It’s only a matter of time in this industry. If you have, then I hope folk were a little more empathetic with you than you are being here. Being kind costs nothing. Ryanair are telling pilots to take 12 months unpaid leave. I am taking unpaid leave in my organisation, voluntarily. Cabin crew are hired on seasonal contracts in a lot of airlines. Here’s some news to some people: The winter is quieter than the summer. And if you have a number of aircraft grounded on top of that, of course companies are going to ask people to take unpaid leave. From what I understand, nobody in Norwegian is being forced into anything, they’ve just been given a number of options which may or may not appeal to them. What happens if they don’t get the required number of volunteers, I don’t know. So repeat, change the record. |
Wake up. Respecting your employees does not mean using them when you need them and drop them when you don’t. Honestly I can’t believe this |
Originally Posted by Vokes55
(Post 10585437)
I think you’ve misunderstood my point. I’m tired of hearing every single negative rumour about Norwegian as some sort of indication that they’re about to collapse, seemingly to some fanfare from the ignorant souls on the internet who have little to no care about the welfare of those who will lose their jobs. Ryanair are telling pilots to take 12 months unpaid leave. I am taking unpaid leave in my organisation, voluntarily. Cabin crew are hired on seasonal contracts in a lot of airlines. Here’s some news to some people: The winter is quieter than the summer. And if you have a number of aircraft grounded on top of that, of course companies are going to ask people to take unpaid leave. From what I understand, nobody in Norwegian is being forced into anything, they’ve just been given a number of options which may or may not appeal to them. What happens if they don’t get the required number of volunteers, I don’t know. So repeat, change the record. Having said this; if you apply for Norwegian as a contractor, you should know in advance that you are amongst the first ones out when the **** truly hits the fan. Nevertheless, good luck with seeking new opportunities (again). |
Originally Posted by SaulGoodman
(Post 10585476)
, good luck with seeking new opportunities (again).
|
One thing about Norwegian is that they are masters of BS. Every day there's internal comms about insignificant and irreverent matters yet the big news is always discovered via the media or rumour network. They have totally underplayed the 737Max impact, quoting I think 30 million Euro loss when it's going to be more like 300 million. The RR issues just keep on getting worse with no sign of wet lease ending to fill the gap. None of this is their fault, but the BS impacts career choices and ultimately paints a false picture about job security. They recently announced they will be hiring more pilots for LH soon. Not with the Madrid closure, there's barely enough jobs for those boys and girls.
|
Originally Posted by Vokes55
(Post 10585437)
I think you’ve misunderstood my point. I’m tired of hearing every single negative rumour about Norwegian as some sort of indication that they’re about to collapse, seemingly to some fanfare from the ignorant souls on the internet who have little to no care about the welfare of those who will lose their jobs... So repeat, change the record. |
Originally Posted by bringbackthe80s
(Post 10585463)
Wake up. Respecting your employees does not mean using them when you need them and drop them when you don’t. Honestly I can’t believe this
Originally Posted by SaulGoodman
(Post 10585476)
The fact that you might work for scumbags doesn’t make it right... I’ve lost 8 years career progression due to redundancy, that is quite a bitch I can tell you.. Having said this; if you apply for Norwegian as a contractor, you should know in advance that you are amongst the first ones out when the **** truly hits the fan. Nevertheless, good luck with seeking new opportunities (again).
Originally Posted by Plastic787
(Post 10585702)
So if you’re such a snowflake that you can’t stand to hear people raise quite reasonable questions about Norwegian’s questionable finances might I suggest a Professional Pilots Rumour Network is not really the place for you. But in answer to your question, tell me how the ‘news’ at the top of the thread is linked to the company’s “questionable finances”, with evidence. |
From what I heard all the Madrid based cabin crew and flight crew will face redundancy...
Company is not respecting seniority in Spain... |
Vokes55 quite frankly you’re embarrassing yourself. You’re a complete caricature and becoming beyond parody. You do realise the irony in calling out people as willy-wavers making assumptions about people they don’t know and in the same breath going on the attack about BA’s “six trips a month”. None of which applies to me. For the record we’ve seen an emergency rights issue and putting up their Gatwick slots as collateral in a push to delay repayment of bonds. Add to that the retrenchment of the airline throughout Europe and cancellation of routes and credit card companies withholding payments added to the current news contained within this thread. None of which paint a rosy picture of the financial situation at the airline. The total liabilities they are sitting on (over £6Billion) are eye watering. Now you can point out these are moves to stabilise the airline’s economic situation but, if you do, you are conceding that the economic situation was bad to begin with and the airline has been (up to this point) grossly mismanaged. Which illustrates the point that many of us commentating on Norwegian’s financials have been making all along. You can’t have it both ways I’m afraid Vokes, if these measures are being taken it’s because the business model was completely bogus. I know you and others in the past (before the extension of the bond deadline and the rights issue) have been glossing over the debt situation by saying the debt was needed for expansion. Now the company are realising that trying to grab market share and grow into profitability is absolutely impossible at the fares that Norwegian charge with their level of overheads. The business model has been flawed the entire way along and if they couldn’t do it at a time when the aviation industry as a whole has been reporting record profitability then God knows how bad it’s going to be in a world economic recession. Norwegian are not in a good place Vokes. Believe it or not I don’t take any great pleasure in that largely because - as we’ve seen with recent events at Thomas Cook - it isn’t pleasant when our colleagues in other airlines are put out of work. I’ve been through it myself. It’s not pleasant when people speculate in a negative fashion and you might not like what you hear (for whatever reason) but acting like a spoilt child, sticking your fingers in your ears and screaming and shouting all you like doesn’t change that reality and should not stifle the debate about a company in genuine difficulty and Norwegian are definitely in this category. |
Originally Posted by matt283
(Post 10585877)
From what I heard all the Madrid based cabin crew and flight crew will face redundancy...
Company is not respecting seniority in Spain... |
Originally Posted by Vokes55
(Post 10585890)
From what I heard they are discussing options with unions, and will almost certainly be offered transfers. As happened with the Canaries and EDI base. Whether Madrid crew want to transfer to other bases is up to them. Decision to close TFS and LPA has been cancelled. Only Spanish base closed so far was PMI and yes crew got transfers, but with MAD it is different case - Norwegian already started redundancy process - ere. |
From detailed analysis I have carried out to advise investors in DY, I would say that Plastic787’s analysis is absolutely spot on. Last year the airline made NOK 1.3bn during Q3, which was swallowed up halfway through Q4. Since then they have issued more shares, sold off assets and effectively defaulted on a huge loan, putting up their LGW slots as security in return for an extension. I am willing to bet the bondholders had no choice. Despite their proclamations about turning the company around and morphing dramatically from growth to profitability, Q1 and Q2 seat costs are around 20% higher than 2018. Summer 2019 passengers and revenues have been broadly flat in July and August and so unless there has been a dramatic reduction in the seat cost trend it is likely Q3 will not make anywhere near the profit of Q3 2018. If this comes to pass (we should find out next week), it will be a very tough Winter. I hope I am wrong but I don’t see a rosy future for this airline, just based on figures and trends I have analysed recently, |
Too much overcapacity. Wafer thin margins. Ludicrous growth projections, propagated in part by a/c manufacturers. Road crash ahead.
|
Originally Posted by Doors to Automatic
(Post 10585911)
From detailed analysis I have carried out to advise investors in DY, I would say that Plastic787’s analysis is absolutely spot on. Last year the airline made NOK 1.3bn during Q3, which was swallowed up halfway through Q4. Since then they have issued more shares, sold off assets and effectively defaulted on a huge loan, putting up their LGW slots as security in return for an extension. I am willing to bet the bondholders had no choice. Despite their proclamations about turning the company around and morphing dramatically from growth to profitability, Q1 and Q2 seat costs are around 20% higher than 2018. Summer 2019 passengers and revenues have been broadly flat in July and August and so unless there has been a dramatic reduction in the seat cost trend it is likely Q3 will not make anywhere near the profit of Q3 2018. If this comes to pass (we should find out next week), it will be a very tough Winter. I hope I am wrong but I don’t see a rosy future for this airline, just based on figures and trends I have analysed recently, |
Good news?
September numbers out at DN.no.
3.3 million pax in September down 4 % from last year. 90% seat factor and well on their way to save 2 BillionNkr ( 200 mill Euro). Stocks up. Disregard my earlier negative attitude because I had to pay 75 euro for extra bag the other day, I still think there is a positive trend. What is more important the Investors here north are optimistic, so there is a good chance of a successful recovery. Regards Cpt B |
If I remember right 2018 Q3 profit was mainly due to exceptional elements, not due to the good performance of the core business, so I do expect worse results this time around, unless some other non recurrent elements (eg Rolls Royce compensation or things like this) comes up again.
|
Originally Posted by directmisbi
(Post 10586186)
I will definitely hold you you up on this statement when the Q3 Numbers are presented late october. |
I understand the nature of this game is fairly seasonal, but the constant requests for people to take unpaid leave etc still leave a bad taste. We produce the profits in the summer and work hard and expect a bit of down time in the winter, but unfortunately my mortgage isn’t seasonal. |
Idea: fly pax in summer, cargo in winter!:}
|
Ask Norwegian management when the compensation from RR and Boeing is arriving. They have no answer. It's been in "negotiation phase " forever. Have they even received a single dime? Is it even going to be cash? It's the elephant in the room no one is talking about and will dictate Norwegian's future far more than FUC*US2019. And btw, 200 million profit is nothing. You burn through that in 2 months as history has shown
|
If you had a large number of orders with me but I had messed up so owed you a bit of cash back.....but I had concerns over your ability to operate as a going concern in the forseeable future....Would I:
(a) give you a cash refund now (b) kick the refund process into touch to see how it all plays out (c) if push comes to shove give you a discount at a later date on future orders |
Originally Posted by MCDU2
(Post 10588194)
If you had a large number of orders with me but I had messed up so owed you a bit of cash back.....but I had concerns over your ability to operate as a going concern in the forseeable future....Would I:
(a) give you a cash refund now (b) kick the refund process into touch to see how it all plays out (c) if push comes to shove give you a discount at a later date on future orders well i I am a bit stumped here, do I ask for 50-50, phone a friend, I know let's ask the audience. |
Originally Posted by rotorwills
(Post 10588420)
well i I am a bit stumped here, do I ask for 50-50, phone a friend, I know let's ask the audience. |
Flightglobal has produced a well written, and very professional article about the situation in Norwegian. A comitted observer, no doubt. https://www.flightglobal.com/news/ar...bility-461279/ |
Originally Posted by directmisbi
(Post 10589238)
Flightglobal has produced a well written, and very professional article about the situation in Norwegian. A committed observer, no doubt. https://www.flightglobal.com/news/ar...bility-461279/ This made me smile Norwegian itself points out that as it runs a premium product alongside its low-cost tickets, its position is not too dissimilar to how British Airways or Virgin Atlantic are operating the transatlantic market. "I think everybody realises the business model does work," says Norwegian. If they truly believe this then there is no hope....... |
JonEMA - I also liked Andrew Lobbenberg’s words: ”"The business was run around the growth agenda – they had too many aeroplanes," says Andrew Lobbenberg, head of European transport equity research at HSBC. "The tail was wagging the dog because the network was being designed to absorb the fleet plan rather than the fleet plan was being designed to meet the network." It seems absolutely incredible that so many aircraft were ordered in one go. Not just the incumbent 737s but 787s and A321s. I didn’t know until today that there are yet more on order - 60 or so A320s. Saying “we are switching from growth to profitability” is completely meaningless when you still have 200 aircraft on the way and little idea where to deploy them profitably. What on earth were these people thinking? if this airline survives with its dysfunctional fleet and business model, it will be the biggest miracle in the history of aviation. |
Originally Posted by JonEMA
(Post 10589733)
Interesting read..........thanks for sharing.... .....
This made me smile Norwegian itself points out that as it runs a premium product alongside its low-cost tickets, its position is not too dissimilar to how British Airways or Virgin Atlantic are operating the transatlantic market. "I think everybody realises the business model does work," says Norwegian. If they truly believe this then there is no hope....... Walsh goes on to praise the "exceptional job" done by Norwegian's chief executive Bjorn Kjos, such as the proof-of-concept work relating to long-haul low-cost operations. "He's proven, if not to everybody but certainly to us, that the market exists and the customer will embrace the business model." |
Originally Posted by Doors to Automatic
(Post 10589743)
JonEMA - I also liked Andrew Lobbenberg’s words: ”"The business was run around the growth agenda – they had too many aeroplanes," says Andrew Lobbenberg, head of European transport equity research at HSBC. "The tail was wagging the dog because the network was being designed to absorb the fleet plan rather than the fleet plan was being designed to meet the network." It seems absolutely incredible that so many aircraft were ordered in one go. Not just the incumbent 737s but 787s and A321s. I didn’t know until today that there are yet more on order - 60 or so A320s. Saying “we are switching from growth to profitability” is completely meaningless when you still have 200 aircraft on the way and little idea where to deploy them profitably. What on earth were these people thinking? if this airline survives with its dysfunctional fleet and business model, it will be the biggest miracle in the history of aviation. “A plan to sell around 70 spare on-order Airbus aircraft to a newly formed joint-venture leasing company are ongoing, Norwegian says, citing "positive" conversations. If successful, this "could be a very large step toward de-risking the business", notes Lobbenberg. As I mentioned earlier, there will be some serious backtracking in here from all the bezzerwizzers IMHO. I guess time will tell... |
Ok - so that still leaves over 100 aircraft to find profitable homes for. Not saying it is impossible, but it will require an eye-watering amount of cash the airline doesn’t have. |
Originally Posted by directmisbi
(Post 10589825)
Willie Walsh disagrees :
Walsh goes on to praise the "exceptional job" done by Norwegian's chief executive Bjorn Kjos, such as the proof-of-concept work relating to long-haul low-cost operations. "He's proven, if not to everybody but certainly to us, that the market exists and the customer will embrace the business model." The harsh reality is that their transatlantic services are in no way similar to those of BA,VS,AA,DL et al all of whom have the, frequency, connectivity, and travel management contracts in place to service the high yielding, late booking business passenger who provide the profits. i Norwegian, on the other hand, has none of these advantages which leaves them squarely in the highly competitive point to point leisure market which is highly seasonal and mostly unprofitable. In short, they have a yield problem that IMHO they simply cannot address given where they are. ........oh yes, and advertising £99 pound fares across the pond next year only makes matters worse....... |
Originally Posted by directmisbi
(Post 10589825)
Willie Walsh disagrees :
Walsh goes on to praise the "exceptional job" done by Norwegian's chief executive Bjorn Kjos, such as the proof-of-concept work relating to long-haul low-cost operations. "He's proven, if not to everybody but certainly to us, that the market exists and the customer will embrace the business model." |
What exactly have Norwegian proven? That customers are willing to pay for a product that is being sold below cost? I think if anyone didn’t think that was the case, they’d be certifiable.. The proof in whether the model works or not is not sentiment of passengers but cold hard financials. Passengers love the A380, if that was the metric there’d be thousands of the things flying around the skies. Theres not and that’s because of the financials of the aircraft. Norwegian’s financial statements do not make pretty reading and are the ultimate litmus test of the Long Haul Low Fares model. Directmisbi what is it you believe that Norwegian are doing or what advantage do you believe they have that makes their prospects fundamentally any different to that of Laker etc? With Norwegian first of all it was expand to profitability now it’s shrink to profitability. Are there not major red flags there in that last sentence that the model is all wrong? |
Analysis of route profitability ex Helsinki
https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....bbdda56713.png
posted today on LinkedIn by an agency who tracks fares by route and mixes the revenue with costs published in airline accounts. Most of these routes have been culled or suspended but LGW and FCO remain according to the post. Would be interesting to see the same analysis network wide which, given they are keeping LGW and FCO at -29% and -22% margin respectively will likely show that there aren't too many 'profitable' routes that they can focus on..... |
All times are GMT. The time now is 05:57. |
Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.