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geardown1 27th Feb 2019 21:16

Job Security Thoughts?
 
With Thomas Cook up for sale and the holiday side not doing so well, are TC pilots at all worried or trying to leave? I’m not asking to scaremonger - I recently seen a job advert for pilots via their own Facebook page and wondering if it’s worth looking at.

A friend of mine had a start date to work in one of their retail shops but he got told it wasn’t going to happen anymore as there’s now a ban on recruiting new staff for all retail shops!

763 jock 27th Feb 2019 22:07

Dozens resigning every day. Most jointing Avion Express and SmartLynx. All pilots in melt down.

Time to LHS will be less than 12 months at this rate.....

macdo 27th Feb 2019 22:27

Frying pan to fire, that's aviation for you!

Marcus Absent 28th Feb 2019 01:03

Friendly low fares, you know it makes sense😁😁😁😁

macdo 28th Feb 2019 07:00


Originally Posted by Marcus Absent (Post 10402470)
Friendly low fares, you know it makes sense😁😁😁😁

Not sure that it does, Marcus. I hope that Dart are not doing a Purple Bricks.

Antonio Montana 28th Feb 2019 07:49

If you're rated in the 737, there really is only one place to go, 400+ aircraft, launch customer for the Max 200.
If I was looking I would be off like a shot,.

I don't think the Silver/Red will do a purple bricks though, but they seem to be poking the wasps nest by moving into STN

USERNAME_ 28th Feb 2019 08:11


Originally Posted by geardown1 (Post 10402342)
With Thomas Cook up for sale and the holiday side not doing so well, are TC pilots at all worried or trying to leave?

The airline is profitable though, pardon my ignorance when it comes to this stuff, but what is the actual threat to TCX apart from the parent company stripping them for parts.
Having been made redundant in October '17, and then again October '18, I don't plan to hit a home run and have it in October '19 too.

BoeingLudo737 28th Feb 2019 08:13


Originally Posted by TangoAlphad (Post 10402660)
It pains me to say but I agree. If you can get a base at home it might be one of the best options to ride out the next big down turn...

I've got offers from both except the harp brigade are putting me in base straight away vs 'hopefully soon' in the silver lot. I'd really rather have avoided it but my own carrier (rudolph lot) aren't exactly on calm seas and my gut is telling me we aren't that far from a big shake up in Euro Aviation.. 18 months max I think!

What base is Jet2 offering at the moment? I am flying for Bluepanorama, a bit sick of it so I am looking at the UK. Thanks

PA28161 28th Feb 2019 09:22

TCG without TCX becomes just another holiday package jockey in a very highly competitive bucket shop market. By selling TCX to generate funding to reduce their huge debt pile they're as good as "wallpapering the living room while the kitchen's burning down"

macdo 28th Feb 2019 09:37

Fly4more is spot on. If you are not near the top of a seniority list, the safest place has got to be Orange,Harp or Big. Personally, I'd go for Big to weather the storm. Sound financials and well diversified.

BoeingLudo737 28th Feb 2019 10:41


Originally Posted by TangoAlphad (Post 10402684)
Central England is what's on offer as far as I know but it changes fairly frequently I'm led to believe.

Thanks, so will you be going with the harp brigade or the silver-red?

dirk85 28th Feb 2019 10:50


Originally Posted by PA28161 (Post 10402750)
TCG without TCX becomes just another holiday package jockey in a very highly competitive bucket shop market. By selling TCX to generate funding to reduce their huge debt pile they're as good as "wallpapering the living room while the kitchen's burning down"

On the other end TCX without TCG becomes an airline like many, now without their main source of passengers, with an old and aging fleet, and far stronger and more aggressive competitors to fight with.

PA28161 28th Feb 2019 11:15

Very true, but I think TCG/TCX is a good synergy and a great shame to split it up.

deltahotel 28th Feb 2019 11:48

Freight is a secure place - profitable and growing. DHK has been a haven for many years. A bunch of us joined in 2000-2002 from charters under threat of redundancy - i’m Ex TC in the guise of JMC. Since then we’ve picked up from all sorts of European airlines that have gone under, most recently a small crop from Monarch. Ironically, a number of pilots who left us in the past have suffered multiple redundancies some having had the horrible chain of silver jet, excel, Globespan.

Hope this helps

macdo 28th Feb 2019 13:32


Originally Posted by dirk85 (Post 10402826)
On the other end TCX without TCG becomes an airline like many, now without their main source of passengers, with an old and aging fleet, and far stronger and more aggressive competitors to fight with.

Only half correct.
The deal TCG are aiming to do would include an agreement for supplying seats to the tour operator. Would give a potential owner around 40%-60% filled capacity guaranteed. Likewise TCG can't sell the airline without securing a seat supply, would be suicidal.

cx1990 1st Mar 2019 12:54

But with the massive debt, is there a chance the whole TCG biting the dust?

nowhereasfiled 1st Mar 2019 13:54


Originally Posted by cx1990 (Post 10403853)
But with the massive debt, is there a chance the whole TCG biting the dust?

Would say it’s highly unlikely.

Mr Angry from Purley 1st Mar 2019 13:59


Originally Posted by 763 jock (Post 10402382)
Dozens resigning every day. Most jointing Avion Express and SmartLynx. All pilots in melt down.

Time to LHS will be less than 12 months at this rate.....

Is this a wind up 763 Jock?

cx1990 1st Mar 2019 14:30


Originally Posted by nowhereasfiled (Post 10403892)


Would say it’s highly unlikely.

Is it safe to say then if TCG do sale their airline section it would be with an some sort of agreement with the airline (buyer) to fill up the seats with their customers meaning the TCX crews will still be flying TCG customers just under different banner on the tail.

nowhereasfiled 1st Mar 2019 14:56


Originally Posted by cx1990 (Post 10403921)

Is it safe to say then if TCG do sale their airline section it would be with an some sort of agreement with the airline (buyer) to fill up the seats with their customers meaning the TCX crews will still be flying TCG customers just under different banner on the tail.

TCG specifically stated that that is one main thing they want if they sell the airline, that the buyer will block a % of seats for TCG holiday customers, and how can they do that without keeping the current crews.

However, personally, I don think the airline will be sold. Don’t think any airline will take it on, nor any ballsy investment groups, and TCG will definitely not “strip it for parts” as like someone said earlier that will be like Wallpapering the living room while the kitchen is burning down. I think TCX will live on for a while, unless there’s some shock Virgin or JetBlue or IAG takeover which would likely only happen when pigs start flying south for the winter.

BluSdUp 3rd Mar 2019 12:34

763 jock
Sooooo, 12 resigning every day, You say.
28 aircraft ,lets say 300+ pilots
10 days 120 leave
20 days 240 leave
30 days 360 gone
Lets say 3 months notice. So, that is end June!
I tell You what : BS!
Cpt B

PS
Dozens as in plural, so potentially 24 or 36 every day, wow!
DS

SFCC 3rd Mar 2019 14:14

BSU

I think 763Jock (not that he is anymore!) was being facetious!

Chill out!

richardthethird 3rd Mar 2019 14:20

So who is more likely to last, then?? TCX or Jet2?! Let the games begin...

USERNAME_ 3rd Mar 2019 15:46


Originally Posted by richardthethird (Post 10405782)
So who is more likely to last, then?? TCX or Jet2?! Let the games begin...

Not a game I think anybody wants to really take part in, and certainly not one people should be excited about......

birdstrike 3rd Mar 2019 15:47

People's livelihoods are not a game....

richardthethird 3rd Mar 2019 15:54

Don’t I know it... Just trying to make light of a pretty horrible situation. It was actually a genuine question. Aside from the obvious TCX worries re: sale, which one do we think is likely to last longest?

TCX have a lot of debt, Jet2 have had a rapid expansion. Are either sustainable?

GA F15 3rd Mar 2019 16:56

What are people’s thoughts on Virgin Atlantic, and their ability to ride out any possible upcoming economic issues?
Are they now more financially secure and stable with Delta owning 49%?

A and C 3rd Mar 2019 17:36

I don’t know why people think Jet 2 are poking a hornets nest at STN, There is little business conflict Ryanair are a Loco and Jet 2 a package tour company.

I would also not bet money aganst the Jet 2 boss Philip Meason, he was doing deals long before MoL left school and has built the very substantial Dart Group that has a wide range of interests .

Down Three Greens 3rd Mar 2019 17:45


Originally Posted by 763 jock (Post 10402382)
Dozens resigning every day. Most jointing Avion Express and SmartLynx. All pilots in melt down.

Time to LHS will be less than 12 months at this rate.....

...I detect a wind up.

Yorkshire_Pudding 4th Mar 2019 23:44


Originally Posted by macdo (Post 10402597)
Not sure that it does, Marcus. I hope are not doing a Purple Bricks.

Who or what is Purple Bricks?


Riskybis 5th Mar 2019 07:24


Originally Posted by GA F15 (Post 10405902)
What are people’s thoughts on Virgin Atlantic, and their ability to ride out any possible upcoming economic issues?
Are they now more financially secure and stable with Delta owning 49%?

Delta (Biggest and most profitable airline in the world ) is the biggest shareholder of Virgin . Also KLM/Airfrance are also in the mix . So Virgin is in a very stable position . Haters will hate but Virgin is a fantastic place to work , makes BA look like an absolute shambles ! (Which is sad as I have had many fond memories at BA )

frozenpilot 5th Mar 2019 08:38

More interestingly, we seem to have a number of economic genius posting on this thread... What is this huge contraction in the industry we will see in the next 18 months? Or this nailed on recession?? Apart from the fall out of Brexit? Which, if doesn’t end with a cliff edge Brexit, where will it leave our UK industry?? Contraction, or major exapnasion plans? Truth is none of us know! Pundits have been predicting the next credit crisis for over four years now, I’m not criticising as I am genuinely interested how we know this ticking time bomb is about to explode ( excluding Brexit).

Could it not be the industry is already going through a natural correction? Monarch, Norwegian, Primera, Wow, Air Berlin & Flybmi.. question is, I guess, will other Airlines expand rapidly to fill perceived voids???

At BA the head honcho’s are curbing expansion thoughts until a big event on March the 29th. With that said they are projecting increasing profits over the next two years, circa €2.1 billion..... Maybe their analysts need to look at this thread!

NoelEvans 5th Mar 2019 12:23

deltahotel‘s Post is the most valid one on this Thread, yet everyone seems to be ignoring it.

Often called “the industry’s best kept secret”, it seems to be easy to see why it remains a ‘secret’ when people like deltahotel state it so clearly and yet everyone ignores it. Freight is growing well (airfreight services contribute £7.2 billion to the UK economy and support 151,000 jobs) and that has to be the answer to thoughts on Job Security.

richardthethird 5th Mar 2019 14:22

Yeah. If you like perpetual nights.

Riskybis 5th Mar 2019 16:03


Originally Posted by richardthethird (Post 10407590)
Yeah. If you like perpetual nights.

exactly , also
when the job gets taken over by computers completely it will be freight first

FlyingStone 5th Mar 2019 16:16


Originally Posted by NoelEvans (Post 10407479)
Often called “the industry’s best kept secret”, it seems to be easy to see why it remains a ‘secret’ when people like deltahotel state it so clearly and yet everyone ignores it. Freight is growing well (airfreight services contribute £7.2 billion to the UK economy and support 151,000 jobs) and that has to be the answer to thoughts on Job Security.

Yep, nothing like flying 30-year old frames exclusively at night for less money than pax airlines. You do fly less hours, but every hour of flying at 2-6 am is killing you much faster than the ones flown during daylight.

deltahotel 5th Mar 2019 17:50

Well, it’s a thread about security rather than ts cs and lifestyle and when you’ve just been made redundant maybe that’s important. Just trying to add to the sum of knowledge to aid those recently cast adrift ( or anyone else who may fancy a change).

Other stuff is (partially) correct and I appreciate it’s not everyone’s cup of tea. After 16 years of this I still don’t think i’ve been as bone tired knackered as after 3 consecutive night turkeys/Cyprus/canaries with driving home between. I never could prepare properly for 0500 reports. I didn’t like the seasonal skewing and working hard throughout the summer.

The fleet? The LH ac were brand new 10 years ago. The current crop of fleet replacement 757s are about 15 years old - what’s the average age of the tck fleet?

Hope this helps

dh


Jonty 5th Mar 2019 18:43

Are they basing in the UK DH? Or is it still Leipzig?

deltahotel 5th Mar 2019 19:22

Main European operating base is Leipzig, but crews are based there and also EMA. We’re taking on a lot of non brits so I think there are EMA basings on offer.


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