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-   -   AF 447 Thread No. 9 (https://www.pprune.org/tech-log/489774-af-447-thread-no-9-a.html)

Lyman 5th August 2012 03:56

It would be important to assess different characteristics airframe to airframe, crew response, etc. do you know if any in-depth analysis is ongoing?

Hunter58 5th August 2012 08:57

Machinbird

For most operators UAS ist NOT a reportable item and therefore the NTSB would not know about it either. To write it in plain languague. UAS is existing in aviation since the introduction of speed measurement and has not been a real problem since the effects were (and I assume still are) part of basic training, starting very early in the training of the most basic aircraft. It is not over 50 cases, it is thousands of cases. But they were not reported since they are a non-event.

barrymah 5th August 2012 10:11

I wonder if the Colonel Xavier MULOT is the same one who is on now on the staff of the French Embassy in Qatar? or is it a coincidence?? I had a google but didn't find any specific on his 'demission' - different from limoge (fired)....(accents missing in the french words).

More conspiracy stuff??

rudderrudderrat 5th August 2012 10:40


It is not over 50 cases, it is thousands of cases. But they were not reported since they are a non-event.
I would agree if the aircraft has natural positive dynamic stability, then it is a non event.
If left alone after a disturbance, it will naturally seek its trimmed angle of attack.

For an aircraft with neutral static stability, then it is a problem.
Any deviation must be recognised and corrected early. Once AF447 had deviated by that much Altitude, it didn't matter how hard they pulled trying to regain FL 350 - it would't work.

Edit: Typo: changed dynamic to static.
Thanks to Clandestino for pointing it out so tactfully.

jcjeant 5th August 2012 11:58


I wonder if the Colonel Xavier MULOT is the same one who is on now on the staff of the French Embassy in Qatar? or is it a coincidence?? I had a google but didn't find any specific on his 'demission' - different from limoge (fired)....(accents missing in the french words).
It has certainly been promoted .. this is normal .. even the U.S. that also happens ... the morons responsible for security the 9-11 were promoted to a higher level :)
More conspiracy stuff?? :8

Turbine D 5th August 2012 16:00


Originally posted by RR_NDB - On Fukushima / GE:
Highly debatable - not appropriate for discussion here - go to JB - Japan Earthquake and Tsunami where this was discussed in detail.

Originally posted by alph2z - This could be useful IAS data that could be made available to the Flight management computers and pilots.
Since the engines seem to have performed flawlessly at TOGA, high altitude, and at high AOA I would presume some useful data for the computers to help with valid data correlation.
Very, very good observation, I think this will/is being looked at, particularly the valid data correlation.

Originally posted by Lyman - Different airstream, dependent on demand, not ambient velocity.
Nonsense, see above plus I suggested this to you a few threads ago.

Originally posted by Lyman - Do you not mean "Detent"? Indent is new to me.
Thanks for spotting my error, got my "I" mixed up with my "D" on the keyboard.

Originally posted by Lyman - Each flight is separate from the next, do not get too comfortable with "millions of flight hours".......how many of those flights had an abnormal? That makes the odds all of a sudden a little shorter.
However you want to look at it, there are both millions of flights as well as flight hours. The occurrence of UAS is a small number from which all crews managed to recover and fly on, except for one.

Originally posted by Lyman - I have seven miles below me, and as far as 447 was concerned, they had only a half mile UP...push everything to max and what, then worry immediately when to stop? Why not consider UAS an impromptu TOD? Stabilize in a shallow descent, and start trouble shooting... ICE might be a wild card as to AoA vanes, but in truth, don't you think a shallow descent at idle might work, if not, then 60? If fuel is an issue, you may not be ETOPS compliant in the first place, and .....? Now I know you will say, but they need only five degrees, and 100 percent, or a bit less, but isn't it more judicious to demand less of the airframe and engines whilst troubleshooting? Less chance of the "crazy speed?" if one can find five, can one find 0? It brackets cruise AoA?
If a crew can't stabilize at 2.5-5º nose up how can they better stabilize in a "shallow descent? "crazy speed" was a result of pitot icing so how can there be less chance of this going down? And, how does going down result in less stress on the airframe or engines verses going up, particularly if sidestick management is heavy handed? explain?

Originally posted by Lyman - Wait, do I have a choice? Cost, performance, and reliability?
I build airliners, I choose cost, and erm, cost...
Luckily, for all concerned, you don't build airliners.

HazelNuts39 5th August 2012 19:22


Originally Posted by alph2z
How many heated pitots are there on the upstream of each engine ? 1 or 2 ?

That question has been asked on an earlier thread. I believe the answer was that the FADEC of the GE engine receives its environmental data from ADIRU 1 & 2.

Note that in the Air Caraibes UAS event the discrepancy between the aircraft pitot pressure and the engine P2 caused the ECAM message "ENG 1(2) EPR MODE FAULT". The GE engine is N1-controlled.

Turbine D 5th August 2012 20:32

Hi Hazelnuts39,

Your memory regarding the FADEC & ADIRUs 1 & 2 is correct. The suggestion of somehow using an array of pitot tubes in the engine nacelle as a backup to the normal 3 fuselage mounted pitots would apply to future developed aircraft and engines. I would guess it would depend on the ability to both correlate and then integrate them into the overall aircraft monitoring system. It would require extensive testing to determine if this "backup" system would be operational and not develop icing should the normal pitots fail for openers. I do suspect searching for a solution is being worked in the industry to prevent pitot problems leading to instances of UAS on aircraft being developed or in the conception stage.

gums 5th August 2012 21:13

Control/trim law bias for AoA or speed
 
Thanks Turbine for the 777 poop.

Seems Boeing likes a plane that trims for speed/AoA versus one gee corrected for attitude/climb angle. And the pilot has to command a different trim speed/AoA if I read the data correctly. No automatic THS to maintain commanded gee.

Interesting that pulling/pushing the stick ( stick/yoke, what the hell) against the trim setting has increased force. So there is an artificial force feedback, huh?

I was also impressed with a fairly simple reversion sequence when the primary laws go away.

The stall protection implementation also seems very intuitive to pilots that did not grow up learning to "monitor" the Airbus system do its thing. Hmmmmm.....

Again, thanks Turbine.

bubbers44 5th August 2012 22:11

A pilot should be able to fly any aircraft without needing training. Yes the training is good to teach the differences but no competent pilot should be required to know how to recognize and recover from a stall. That was taught in the first 5 hours of instruction. It is so basic, lower the nose and regain airspeed. AF had two pilots who couldn't do that. I am sure the captain could have but by the time he entered the cockpit the PF had screwed it up so bad he was even confused.

We need to not let automated airplanes make pilots monitors. They both forgot how to fly watching the magenta line.

TTex600 5th August 2012 22:24

Bubbers, stop being dismayed about the pilots and start being outraged at the system that trained them and placed them there.

bubbers44 5th August 2012 22:40

TT, I agree with your statement. This wasn't a problem when I started flying. It is now. Competent pilots were the only people hired when I was. Now with automation competent pilots are too expensive so they hire the cheapest pilots out of pilot school they can find. Sad but true.

bubbers44 5th August 2012 22:50

Embry Riddle pumps out pilots with no experience as soon as Daddy can pay for it. Now they are qualified for a 24,000 a year job with a mere 200,000 help from Daddy. A friend of mine just funded this exact thing.

Lyman 5th August 2012 23:41

TD....

Quote:
Originally posted by Lyman - Different airstream, dependent on demand, not ambient velocity.
"Nonsense, see above plus I suggested this to you a few threads ago."


"The suggestion of somehow using an array of pitot tubes in the engine NACELLE as a backup to the normal 3 fuselage mounted pitots would apply to FUTURE developed aircraft and engines. I would guess it would depend on the ability to both correlate and then integrate them into the overall aircraft monitoring system. It would require extensive testing to determine if this "backup" system would be operational and not develop icing should the normal pitots fail for openers/B]

Are you so eager to utilize the word "nonsense", that you miss the accuracy contained in my post?

By the way, I did not correct your spelling of the word "intent". The word was spelled correctly. I merely asked if you had meant "Detent" instead....

My original comment was based on data you enlarge in your retort to my succinct post. I am full of nonsense, but you think enough of it to widen the prose used to expand on it?

What's up widdat...?

CONF iture 6th August 2012 04:26


Originally Posted by Turbine D
I would not think reducing power and going down would be the thing to do as the speed would rapidly increase leading to a speed-speed warning.

It is a safe procedure as long there's nobody below.
It has been done by a few crews.
Idle + pitch on the horizon or slighly below do just fine.
Absolutely no risk of overspeed.
Just like a normal descent from cruise level.


There are times when following directions that, or should be, the basis of the word "Aviate" are really important.
To follow directions or switch to a memory item, you need first to understand what you are facing. For them the first signal was the alarm and the red ecam for AP disconnect - Probably also a sudden drop of indicated altitude - I don't think they realized they had to deal with an UAS scenario - Among the reported events, is it possible no one called for the UAS memory item, and no one deselected the FD ?

When it was getting obvious that UAS events in altitude were adding up, it would have been very wise to simulate such scenario during recurrent training : This, is what you may encounter, there are all the associated ecam and alarms, that's what your PFD may look like : THIS IS WHAT YOU NEED TO DO.

I am a bit disapointed we still have not done it in my outfit

Everything is so much easier when you have been properly demonstrated once.

bubbers44 6th August 2012 04:47

Why climb or descend with UAS? Why not stay level, use the altimiter and VSI to maintain altitude? Why bust through everybody elses altitude? I only flew Boeings and MD's but no procedure required changing altitude in cruise because of UAS. Every aircraft has an UAS checklist, get it out and stay level. Just my opinion because I stayed away from the Airbus.

HazelNuts39 6th August 2012 07:48


Originally Posted by CONF iture
Probably also a sudden drop of indicated altitude - I don't think they realized they had to deal with an UAS scenario - Among the reported events, is it possible no one called for the UAS memory item, and no one deselected the FD ?

Is it possible that a pilot sees the IAS drop from 274 kt to 52 kt in a matter of seconds, and not consider the IAS to be unreliable?

From the Air Caraibes memo (my translation):

"Phase 4, crew reaction
Starting at 22:22:59 during 1m26s the indications of CAS, Mach and altitude are not reliable. The PF flies manually without FD, without FPV, and without A/THR. In that period the various warnings on ECAM, Master Warning, Master Caution, Cavalry Charge, Single Chime, and STALL are numerous. In this extremely charged context, the crew concentrates thus on the piloting of F-OFDF and the application of the checklist QRH 2.21 UNRELIABLE SPEED INDICATION. (...). "


I am a bit disapointed we still have not done it in my outfit

Everything is so much easier when you have been properly demonstrated once.
Agreed. It is difficult to understand that this is still not being addressed in training.

IcePack 6th August 2012 12:38

It is not being addressed in training as their are no algorithm's in the sims for high altitude handling. ( most only up to 14000ft) which risks negative training.

john_tullamarine 6th August 2012 12:57

no algorithm's in the sims for high altitude handling

.. a matter of tweaking the box's software.

CONF iture 6th August 2012 15:31


Originally Posted by HN39
Is it possible that a pilot sees the IAS drop from 274 kt to 52 kt in a matter of seconds, and not consider the IAS to be unreliable?

But do we know what IAS2 was displaying ... ?

The last time we did practice a scenario of UAS at low level, the initial clue that something was wrong came under the warning : WINDSHEAR WINDSHEAR WINDSHEAR
My airspeed was getting in the red, which made sense to me in case of windshear.
As per SOP my call was "WINDSHEAR TOGA" which implies to follow the FD, not to turn them OFF.
That's only when I heard the instructor word : "eh guys ..." that I took a quick look at the other PFD and could remember that one of the exercises for the day was UAS not WINDSHEAR ... The appropriate call was then only made : "UNRELIABLE SPEED"

This is how things can get confusing sometimes.


Originally Posted by IcePack
It is not being addressed in training as their are no algorithm's in the sims for high altitude handling. ( most only up to 14000ft) which risks negative training.

This is not so much about the handling, but how the avalanche of warnings can just mean that : UAS, and how the energy of the PF should go on maintaining a normal pitch attitude for cruise and the energy of the PNF should go on the monitoring the PF performance. The only actions the PNF could perform would be to kill the FD and set the thrust at a normal thrust setting for cruise.

All the concentration and energy on aviate - This is not necessarily easy as the multiple warnings don't seem to stop.

This could be like suddenly switching from a walk in the park to seat in a formula one at 300 km/h

OK465 6th August 2012 16:21


It is not being addressed in training as their are no algorithm's in the sims for high altitude handling. ( most only up to 14000ft) which risks negative training.
IcePack:

What's your source for that statement?

OK465 6th August 2012 16:39

CONF:

It may depend on how the instructor inputs the airspeed variation.

If the indicated aircraft speed is slewed directly, you'll get an effective windshear.

Check and see if you've got a 'Variable Airspeed Drift' malfunction available in the ADIRS section.

Using this malfunction can give a nice approximation of the Air Caraibes situation with appropriate ADR disagree messages and no windshear warning.

IcePack 6th August 2012 17:08

Sims are set up to meet the equivalent test schedule for the type. Most sims handle the same at 35000ft as they do at 14000ft which is definitely not the case for the aircraft. Sorry would have no idea of the source document for that.
Trouble with negative training is that it may be of benefit to get pilots to hold attitude & power but could lead them to believe that the handling is easy which in an A330 at height with an aft C of G due trim tank it is not. Hence in a surprise situation (in real a/c) they may over control or disbelieve the indications.
Whatever, the simulator industry needs to address this short coming IMHO.

OK465 6th August 2012 17:14


Sorry would have no idea of the source document for that.
Then how did you find out about this?

Lyman 6th August 2012 18:06

Question. The aircraft (F-GZCP) was in an airstream that was actively changing directions, from the VSI, her accelerations were brisk in the vertical. This was happening at 2:10:05, both sides. ( before and after). So since I've not seen an answer, let me ask again. The ACARS show a WindShear event of some description. Is there a possibility Bonin was reacting to this? Was there no W/S alert on the ECAM? Seems to me WindShear can cause discrepancies in Pitot reporting, sufficient to not only cause autopilot to drop out, but to degrade the Control Law as well....

EMIT 6th August 2012 19:29

Answers
 
Lyman,

Answers to your 4 questions:

NO
NO
NO
NO (actually the answer may be wrong, 'cause it might just be that to you it really seems so)

By the way, windshear cautions or warnings show up where they belong, on the pilots' Primary Flight Displays (same in Airbus as in Boeing).

CONF iture 6th August 2012 19:39

IcePack,
I cannot tell about the 14000ft stuff, you may be right, but I can tell it is still pretty easy to over control at 35000ft in a simulator. IMO the handling would still require a LOT of attention.
For the record, despite the fuel in the tail, the CG for AF447 was still very much fwd compared to the ideal target for fuel saving.

OK365,
You are most probably correct.
I'm not too aware of the different possibilities for the sim as I have never occupied that back seat. What I can tell is that the instructor seemed surprised too.

HazelNuts39 6th August 2012 19:45


Originally Posted by Lyman
The ACARS show a WindShear event of some description.

The ACARS message you're referring to has the Meaning (ref. Interim#1, p.49):
"This message indicates unavailability of the reaction to windshear detection function"

RetiredF4 6th August 2012 20:37


IcePack
Sims are set up to meet the equivalent test schedule for the type. Most sims handle the same at 35000ft as they do at 14000ft which is definitely not the case for the aircraft. Sorry would have no idea of the source document for that.
Trouble with negative training is that it may be of benefit to get pilots to hold attitude & power but could lead them to believe that the handling is easy which in an A330 at height with an aft C of G due trim tank it is not. Hence in a surprise situation (in real a/c) they may over control or disbelieve the indications.
Whatever, the simulator industry needs to address this short coming IMHO.
Read it somewhere, however couldn´t find it. Stumbled on another pdf though.

Validation of stall recovery technique and training from Airbus March 2011

edit: another look from april 2012
aviation week

CONF iture 6th August 2012 20:42


Originally Posted by clandestino
I am afraid that Australian ATSB has shown utter disregard for your ideas that fix is inadequate and in its final report of upset to A330 near Learmonth has found actions by Airbus quite acceptable.

Where did I write inadequate ?
It is only a temporary fix where the pilot needs to be quicker than the malfunction to badly bite one more time.
But as usual you redirect the subject as you cannot assume your writing :

Many a claim was made on this rumour network that oh-so-complicated-Airbus-took-the-controls-away-from-me-when-it-shouldn't-have. None of them were substantiated except St.Johns and Bilbao - that's fixed now.

Lonewolf_50 6th August 2012 21:23

CONF iture

Same reply that 1) The conservative approach would be to make sure that automation stays out of the way when data are identified as unreliable.
I can see the appeal of that (as I am very much a fan of stick and rudder flying). I think henra's response answers some of the "why" the system is as it is.

TTex

Make sense to who, or better said, to WHAT?
In this accident we have an aircraft designed to be flown by computers that suffers a GIGO computer issue that convinces the computers to give up on their job.
Which leaves the pilots with a system designed to be flown by computer and they now have no computer or at least not all of the computer.
BUT, it still wants to be flown like it is a computer because only PART of the computer system gave up, the rest is still working and it only knows computer sense.

I ask again, make sense to who or what?

Forgive my english/grammar, Texan is my native language and i'm in a hurry.
I understood you perfectly. :ok:
It makes sense to whomever bought the plane with the objective being a smooth ride in a modern airliner. I will suggest to you that, for the most part, as evidenced by most of the 228 casualties being strapped in, that even as it fell from the sky it was a smoother ride than one might expect for out of control flight. (Then again, many of those strapped in might have strapped in, and then dozed off, a buffet here or there not noticed, be it turb or stall ... )


The Airbus flies already very well under Direct Law, and manual trim is part of that direct, just like the Cessna, or the Airbus 310
The only question I'd have on that is: how often do you get to practice that?

Lyman

Easier to descend than climb.
Gravity assisted flying! What will they think of next! :-)

Sorry for that, I could not resist.

Clandestino 6th August 2012 21:33


Originally Posted by rudderrudderrat
If you are going to be picky, during roll out, you are actually in a sub mode of Direct Law called Ground Mode.

Thank you for being nitpicky for me.


Originally Posted by RR NDB
I don´t like the approach to diagnose UAS by System output.

Neither do I. BEA is also unhappy but it issued no recommendation on fixing it. What you fail to understand is...


Originally Posted by RR NDB
Block garbage to enter System would be better?

...the pressure that hit the total pressure sensor was not the real one due to clogging of the pitot, but such reduced pressure resulted in calculating airspeed of about 52 kt at the minimum and this is valid speed during t/o run or landing roll and cannot be rejected by simple algorithm! This is not readily identifiable to computer as a garbage! It can be identified as such only by someone who has a whole picture of the aeroplane state in his CPU and can recognize that sudden drop from 270 kt to 52 without aeroplane starting to fall or being torn apart in severe turbulence actually means speed display is totally wrong and we call that entity "a pilot". You just can't teach the computer to compare all the parameters and come to intelligent solution, if you try, you can only end up with set of instructions so convoluted its execution will be totally unreliable. Farthest Airbus came is displaying "CHECK GW" message when computer detects discrepancy between input weight, airspeed and AoA - it can not determine which is which so output is made to warn about the most common failure, to input wrong weight into FMGS. A lot of guesswork but it's best that can be done for the time being.


Originally Posted by RR NDB
Sadly, the (non adequately trained) crew of AF447 were:

Question of adequate training is another can of worms. How come other AF crews dealt without much fuss with UAS if AF training is inadequate? It is not just about training, it is also about selection. Starting from the first flight in glider, ending when the logbook is closed for good.


Originally Posted by bubbers44
I don't think the test pilots that approved the 5 degrees nose up and climb power tried it with blocked pitot tubes.

Do you have a slightest idea who writes and approves the procedures?


Originally Posted by bubbers44
The trapped pitot pressure and the decreasing static pressure would cause an indicated airspeed increase and at some point an overspeed warning

So it would! So freaking what? Pilot who would seriously consider acting IAW overspeed warning in UAS situation must be totally "destructured", to use BEA term.


Originally Posted by Lyman
HN.... Why would the boffins select a climb, at all, in the first place?

Panic, caused by sudden realization that something is wrong but one has no clue what it is or what should be done. So doing first thing that crosses his mind and disregarding absolutely every clue it wasn't good idea in the first place.


Originally Posted by RR NDB
R&D must be done to improve current situation.

What situation?


Originally Posted by RR NDB
Why not protect the plane to REC MAX apogee. Hard limit (Airbus SAS approach)

I have read many a misconception about Airbus protection, this one goes into top tier. No altitude protection is offered ever on Airbus as AoA makes it irrelevant. No hard air data based protection is available in alternate laws as there's no sufficient redundancy to guard against the unwarranted activation of the protection.


Originally Posted by TTex600
Poor training. As I've stated more than once on this topic, my training was no better.

How come other 36 crews went through UAS ordeal unscathed? Better training than yours?


Originally Posted by syseng68k
If the systems fail and give no information, then fine

So it is. No electronic part of the system failed in AF447 case. It just wasn't fed the right pressure.


Originally Posted by syseng68k
but to fail and give incorrect information is extremely dangerous

Problem is that many a PPRuNer has noticed it is dangerous only when it resulted in 228 deaths and all of a sudden there are righteous demands, very similar to ones made by certain young F/O


Originally Posted by Ernest K Gann
Captain Hughen, this is all an anachronism. We belong in the modern world and should therefore be secure. Please arrange a remedy for this grievous mistake at once.

At least he was so forthright to humour himself once the fright loosened his grip.


Originally Posted by RR NDB
Simply because Pitot´s may fail SIMULTANEOUSLY

So what? I have flown aeroplane with single pitot and then it got blocked. There's always way out.


Originally Posted by rudderrudderrat
I would agree if the aircraft has natural positive dynamic stability, then it is a non event. If left alone after a disturbance, it will naturally seek its trimmed angle of attack.

I have to warn everyone that trying to explain some aspect of Airbus FBW while not being versed in basic aerodynamics tends to produce entertaining, if not true or otherwise useful , results. What you are referring to is static stability and that airbus lacks it in normal and alternate law is total non-event.


Originally Posted by rudderrudderrat
Any deviation must be recognised and corrected early. Once AF447 had deviated by that much Altitude, it didn't matter how hard they pulled trying to regain FL 350 - it would't work.

What?!? AF447 did regain FL350 by pulling, if only fleetingly as it passed through it on her final descent! Now, if only they pushed...


Originally Posted by TTex600
Bubbers, stop being dismayed about the pilots and start being outraged at the system that trained them and placed them there.

If we assume that Airbus is dangerous by design, shouldn't we be praising the system for always putting the super-pilots in the cockpit that made it home and failing just once? Of course not.


Originally Posted by CONF iture
I don't think they realized they had to deal with an UAS scenario

You are right. How could they realize when they were suddenly faced with 200+ kt drop in IAS?




Originally Posted by CONF iture
But do we know what IAS2 was displaying ... ?

BEA does. 88, 93, 94.


Originally Posted by CONF iture
It is only a temporary fix where the pilot needs to be quicker than the malfunction to badly bite one more time.

Dear CONF iture, by know you should have really known better than assuming I would link to the report without reading it. So: 1. QF72 was single occurrence in 28 million hours of flight 2. temporary fix of switching off the faulty ADIRU was later supplemented by rewriting the FCPC algorithms. I will suggest you should stop burying yourself, just because I know you will not listen to me.

RetiredF4 6th August 2012 21:35

Another read i could find concerning Loss of Control in Flight
Training Foundations and Solutions
.


Some bits out of it:

What Changed: Uncovering the Problem
Part of the predicament has nothing to do with LOC-I at all; in fact it is the reduction of other accident causes that left LOC-I as one of the last remaining causal factors to be “tamed”. To be clear, the overall number of accidents and fatalities due to LOC-I have not been increasing. It is the improvement in other accident categories that has resulted in the emergence of LOC-I as the leading cause of fatal accidents in air transportation worldwide. It’s as if when the “swamp” of the aviation accident pool was drained of other causal factors, the “snakes” of LOC-I were exposed. It is only in the past five years that LOC-I has overtaken Controlled Flight Into Terrain (CFIT) as the leading fatal accident category among airline
aircraft worldwide. While other accident areas have improved, LOC-I has stagnated at an unacceptable rate.



The lack of improvement in LOC-I is evidenced by it’s relative contribution to the overall fatality rate. From the period of 2001 to 2008, LOC-I experienced a 29% increase in the contribution of this category
towards the overall fatal accident rate. For the ten year period ending in 2008 the next closest accident category was CFIT, at 20% (roughly one half of LOC-I fatalities).


Loss of Control in Flight as a percentage
of Overall Fatalities:
Year percentage
2001 30.4%
2006 30.6%
2008 39.5%

The Relative Threat: Higher risk, less effective training
To get a perspective on whether or not we should be concerned about a reduction in all-attitude experience in the cockpits of the world’s airliners, we will examine the relative statistical threat of a fatal accident from several categories of accidents.

The worldwide chances of an LOC-I death by comparison to other accident categories

Runway Excursion (Combined Take Off & Landing): x 2.3
Non-engine systems failure: x 5.6
Runway Incursion (By a Vehicle, Aircraft, or Person) : x 9.1
Engine Failure: x 879.5

RetiredF4 6th August 2012 21:53


Clandestino: What you are referring to is static stability and that airbus lacks it in normal and alternate law is total non-event.
You should tell BEA. They obviously dont know about it.


BEA Final report
However, positive longitudinal static stability on an aeroplane can be useful since it allows the pilot to have a sensory return (via the position of the stick) on the situation of his aeroplane in terms of speed in relation to its point of equilibrium (trim) at constant thrust. Specifically, the approach to stall on a classic aeroplane is always associated with a more or less pronounced nose-up input. This is not the case on the A330 in alternate law. The specific consequence is that in this control law the aeroplane, placed in a configuration where the thrust is not sufficient to maintain speed on the flight path, would end up by stalling without any inputs on the sidestick. It appears that this absence of positive static stability could have contributed to the PF not identifying the approach to stall.

Clandestino: You are right. How could they realize when they were suddenly faced with 200+ kt drop in IAS?
You should have helped BEA with their report. They got it wrong again.


BEA Final report 2.1.2.4 Identification of the situation
Three seconds after the autopilot disconnection, the ECAM displays no information that is likely to point to a speed indication problem:
The ECAM mentions a maximum speed that should not be exceeded but does not mention a minimum speed. This could lead crews to suppose that the main risk is overspeed. In the absence of any reliable speed indication, this might lead to a protective nose-up input that is more or less instinctive.

..........
Thus, having identified the loss of airspeed information, the PNF turned his attention to the ECAM, undoubtedly in an attempt to refine his diagnosis and to monitor any actions displayed. He started to read the messages, and consequently called out the loss of autothrust and the reconfiguration to alternate law. The successive display of different messages probably added to the confusion experienced by the crew in its analysis and management.
In the absence of a specific message expressing detection of unreliable speed by the systems, the crew was unable to identify any logical link between the symptoms perceived and these ECAM messages. The impression of an accumulation of failures created as a result probably did not incite the crew to link the anomaly with a particular procedure, in this case the “Vol avec IAS douteuse” procedure.

syseng68k 6th August 2012 21:58


The last time we did practice a scenario of UAS at low level,
the initial clue that something was wrong came under the
warning : WINDSHEAR WINDSHEAR WINDSHEAR

My airspeed was getting in the red, which made sense to me
in case of windshear.

As per SOP my call was "WINDSHEAR TOGA" which implies to
follow the FD, not to turn them OFF. That's only when I heard
the instructor word : "eh guys ..." that I took a quick look
at the other PFD and could remember that one of the exercises
for the day was UAS not WINDSHEAR ... The appropriate call was
then only made : "UNRELIABLE SPEED"
So, in the case of UAS, you could get a windshear warning and / or
a stall warning. Neither of which are correct. Wonder what else ?.

In the case of uas, one would think that the warning system would
at least consult the IRU and other available sources to correlate
the data before presenting it to the crew.

I guess that's all ok though, yes ?...http://images.ibsrv.net/ibsrv/res/sr...milies/eek.gif

bubbers44 6th August 2012 23:20

I flew with pilots that would not have done what they did. I wouldn't. If we lost airspeed we would maintain pitch and cruise power as they should have. Get out the UAS checklist and press on. No stall, no panic, but they didn't. Experience helps when you didn't spend your whole short career monitoring an autopilot.

RR_NDB 6th August 2012 23:30

UAS diagnosis
 
Hi,

Clandestino:


Originally Posted by RR NDB
I don´t like the approach to diagnose UAS by System output.


I put:


I don´t like the approach to diagnose UAS by System output. As showed in an Airbus SAS paper mentioned in an earlier post. This can be improved and in AF447 case seems very important.
In an earlier post i observed:

IMHO this is dangerous. Digital signal processing of air speed analog data can inform UAS onset to the crew before System start to process garbage.


Neither do I. BEA is also unhappy but it issued no recommendation on fixing it. What you fail to understand is...
The recommendations will generate a better design. I hope an UAS DSP subsystem will be eventually used.

Please could you explain: "What you fail to understand is...". What you mean?



Question of adequate training is another can of worms. How come other AF crews dealt without much fuss with UAS if AF training is inadequate? It is not just about training, it is also about selection. Starting from the first flight in glider, ending when the logbook is closed for good.
:ok:

Even morons could deal with UAS if are trained to use a DSP UAS detector. :)

(Air speed is important. Pitot´s seems obsolete. Thales version used in F-GZCP was obsolete)

Air speed anomalies are frequent and potentially affect the stability of the System. The current situation is not good.

The 3 redundant (Pitot´s and subsystems, CPT, FO and Stand By) System elements failed SIMULTANEOUSLY. No redundancy, therefore. Better to use a single element. :} :{

On the REC MAX protection please don´t consider it so seriously. Actually good pilots can unload the wing above REC MAX and save the day.

RR_NDB 6th August 2012 23:37

Hi,

bubbers44:


Experience helps when you didn't spend your whole short career monitoring an autopilot.


:}

Lyman 7th August 2012 00:12

BEA...

"Thus, having identified the loss of airspeed information, the PNF turned his attention to the ECAM, undoubtedly in an attempt to refine his diagnosis and to monitor any actions displayed. He started to read the messages, and consequently called out the loss of autothrust and the reconfiguration to alternate law...."


In the prior paragraph, they reference a three second interval post a/p loss, and note the ECAM has not displayed the Law reconfig. It was sixteen seconds later the PNF called "Alternate Law".

Three seconds after the autopilot disconnection, the ECAM displays no information that is likely to point to a speed indication problem:

What is the point of This timeline, and the two time intervals? Thay mention the possibility of nose up, but make no inference other than, "possible confusion..."


The ECAM mentions a maximum speed that should not be exceeded but does not mention a minimum speed. This could lead crews to suppose that the main risk is overspeed. In the absence of any reliable speed indication, this might lead to a protective nose-up input that is more or less instinctive.


Sensory overload? The pilots? Or BEA? What a jumble...

RR_NDB 7th August 2012 00:41

Fault tolerance and graceful degradation
 

BEA Final report 2.1.2.4 Identification of the situation
Three seconds after the autopilot disconnection, the ECAM displays no information that is likely to point to a speed indication problem:
The ECAM mentions a maximum speed that should not be exceeded but does not mention a minimum speed. This could lead crews to suppose that the main risk is overspeed. In the absence of any reliable speed indication, this might lead to a protective nose-up input that is more or less instinctive.

Thus, having identified the loss of airspeed information, the PNF turned his attention to the ECAM, undoubtedly in an attempt to refine his diagnosis and to monitor any actions displayed. He started to read the messages, and consequently called out the loss of autothrust and the reconfiguration to alternate law. The successive display of different messages probably added to the confusion experienced by the crew in its analysis and management.
In the absence of a specific message expressing detection of unreliable speed by the systems, the crew was unable to identify any logical link between the symptoms perceived and these ECAM messages. The impression of an accumulation of failures created as a result probably did not incite the crew to link the anomaly with a particular procedure, in this case the “Vol avec IAS douteuse” procedure.


K.I.S.S. has it counterpart: Keep It Complex Stupid :}

Question: How they could diagnose the UAS? (The so called, non event)

:mad:

We still today have two problems:

1) Important (redundant) elements prone to fail simultaneously
2) Diagnosability of UAS


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