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-   -   AF 447 Thread No. 9 (https://www.pprune.org/tech-log/489774-af-447-thread-no-9-a.html)

oldchina 5th July 2012 20:53

jcjeant
 
Agree.

As I said before, no-one thinks it odd that it's legal (certified) to have an autopilot that under certain conditions in cruise gives back control of the plane to the pilots. The same conditions in which the pilots are not trained to fly the plane.

RR_NDB 5th July 2012 21:03

On Basics
 
Hi,

Bill Macgillivray:


A basic (and old) mandatory skill is aviate your plane. AoA is ESSENTIAL (to fly non rotary wing a/c).

This VERY BASIC "detail" was simply not "respected".

:{

GarageYears 5th July 2012 21:14

Read the CVR transcript... Appendix 1
 
This is a chilling read, but I think brings the lack of understanding of what the aircraft was doing into sharp focus. From everything I can tell the whole verbiage is there. It is not a happy read at all.

Turbine D 5th July 2012 21:17

I thought it was interesting relative to the point that visual cues take precedent in the human mind over aural cues in time of stressful situations.


Clandestino quote: It is all very nice for PPRuNers or investigation boards to ask for better UAS detection and resolution systems but without some creative genius coming with the idea of how they should be made, we won't get far.
In the WSJ today:

For next year, the company (Boeing) is poised to test an array of modifications on one of its 787 Dreamliner models, according to industry and company officials. Boeing flight tests of the 787 next year are likely to include a new cockpit-safety feature aimed at helping pilots recover from stalls or other unusual maneuvers that could cause them to lose control of the aircraft, officials said.

The proposed system for the 787 provides instant and prominent visual cues - consisting of brightly colored arrows popping up on cockpit displays - to help pilots recover from flight upsets or other extreme situations that may prompt them to be confused about a plane's automation or trajectory.

Developed by Honeywell International Inc. in conjunction with Boeing, the proposed warnings are intended to advise pilots how to manipulate a plane's controls in an emergency by giving the pilots clear-cut directions that are not available on current Boeing models. If Boeing offers such enhancements, airlines are likely to embrace them because the system is projected to require only relatively inexpensive software upgrades to existing flight-control hardware and cockpit displays.

The article talks about more improvements to be tested on a 737 as well as changes to GE and or CFMI engines that will improve upon fuel consumption efficiency.

jcjeant 5th July 2012 21:24


The proposed system for the 787 provides instant and prominent visual cues - consisting of brightly colored arrows popping up on cockpit displays - to help pilots recover from flight upsets or other extreme situations that may prompt them to be confused about a plane's automation or trajectory.
To note that this kind of cues are already implemented in many video games :ok:
Of course .. it's more easy to implement those in a video game instead a airliner :)
Would be the future of flying be a kind of video game :confused:

RR_NDB 5th July 2012 21:34

Great news
 
Great news coming from R&D. With a powerful "man-machine interface tool" to crews "near the edge". (as such was the case in AF447 before put a/c in full stall)

Thanks for very important information at a "right moment" for us here. BEA "final report day".

ECAM_Actions 5th July 2012 21:46

I think Boeing missed the point. If they need school-kid directions because the pilots are overwhelmed with data, maybe they'd be better addressing the cause rather than finding yet another piece of data to flash at them?

Besides - the FD bars on the AF jet were commanding a CLIMB, so how are Boeing's magic arrows going to react any differently under the same situation?

How about a declutter function - HIDE all but the MOST important data, and silence alarms? Blank screens if you have to.

RR_NDB 5th July 2012 22:12

Near the edge
 
A well developed SW together Air Speed DSP could improve easily the current situation.

As far i can imagine, the idea of the info TD bring us is to simplify crew work in abnormalities.

Your 3 questions are important. We need to wait.

Turbine D 5th July 2012 22:23

Hi jcjeant,

Would be the future of flying be a kind of video game :confused:
Yup, only a matter of time as the pace of technology continues on its rapid pace. Maybe not in our lifetime, but, if your great-grandson or great-granddaughter aspires to be a pilot, this is a preview of the future. There is already a shortage of these "pilots"....


Turbine D 5th July 2012 22:31

RR_NDB,

Re: Great News

I though you would like this!

DozyWannabe 5th July 2012 22:48


Originally Posted by ECAM_Actions (Post 7280060)
Besides - the FD bars on the AF jet were commanding a CLIMB...

5 degrees nose-up at FL350 or thereabouts - which is what the flight directors showed at the time of SW - is *not* a climb at cruise thrust.

justthisonce 5th July 2012 23:11

Newbie question
 
Hello All, I am a newbie and an airline enthusiast. I used to work for an airline but in their IT so I don't claim any knowledge of powered (or unpowered) flight.

I have been keeping track of this case ever since it happened.

I saw this in the news today and signed up on this forum just to ask this one question. I read the cockpit recorder transcript here.

Air France 447 Flight-Data Recorder Transcript - What Really Happened Aboard Air France 447 - Popular Mechanics

What ruled out the possibility that the Bonin guy was not suicidal?

This is a reasonable question, given that several crashes over the years have had such implications, so I'll let it stand.

However, please let's not venture into conspiracist realms .. JT

mm43 5th July 2012 23:14


But the aeroplane had not encountered, before or during the accident, an exceptional meteorological situation from the point of view of phenomena that are traditionally avoided in stormy environments (turbulence, lightning, icing).
Hope that puts an end to the "thunderstorm" brigade. It is deemed to have been "nothing exceptional", though the wise decision would have been to avoid it.


....the presence of flight envelope protections makes neutral longitudinal static stability acceptable. ....It appears that this absence of positive static stability could have contributed to the PF not identifying the approach to stall.
A bit of a "soft" excuse when you've already managed to dump most of the kinetic energy available.

Machinbird;

Your PIO roll proposition appears to have been confirmed.

jcjeant 5th July 2012 23:26

In the CVR transcript I notice some PNC call during event ..
2H10.55
2H10.59
2H11.02
2H11.24
2H11.30
It may be that PNC was concerned that something was abnormal ....

MountainBear 5th July 2012 23:32


It's a very well written report, only typo I noticed in the English version was on bottom of P151 "mark range" should be "Mach range".
Well, I didn't even make it past the first two pages before discovering this gem:


As accurate as the translation may be, the original text in French is the work or reference
back to the actual report...

DozyWannabe 5th July 2012 23:56


Originally Posted by justthisonce (Post 7280198)
What ruled out the possibility that the Bonin guy was not suicidal?

This is a reasonable question, given that several crashes over the years have had such implications, so I'll let it stand.

However, please let's not venture into conspiracist realms .. JT

Will do JT.

The CVR transcript looks all wrong for a deliberate attempt to sabotage the flight. Bonin's words reflect a mindset of being gradually overwhelmed by a problem, and increasing anxiety as the situation worsens. In every case of suicide/homicide in aviation I know of, the perpetrator has never betrayed anxiety - instead becoming task-focused and shutting out all extraneous human interaction.

Also his wife was on board - they were both returning from a holiday to Brazil which if anything seemed to lighten Bonin's mood based on second-hand evidence.

Everything else aside, all evidence indicates a pilot who tragically got out of his depth and was spooked enough to try the wrong thing over and over.

Machinbird 6th July 2012 00:09


Originally Posted by mm43
Machinbird;

Your PIO roll proposition appears to have been confirmed.

Thank you for the heads up.:) Haven't yet had the time to read the report.

MountainBear 6th July 2012 00:55


This is a chilling read, but I think brings the lack of understanding of what the aircraft was doing into sharp focus. From everything I can tell the whole verbiage is there. It is not a happy read at all.
I've read through the report and the appendix (just one time) and honestly I'm none the wiser than I was after the report a year ago.

Fundamentally, there are three pilots flying one of the best aircraft in the world and they put it in the water. What I do not comprehend is why they did not comprehend.

All the final report offers is speculation.


(!) we’re going to crash
This can’t be true
It was true and it's about the only thing I am confidant of.

gums 6th July 2012 01:26

Appendices
 
I can't seem to find a download with all the appendices.

Irish Steve 6th July 2012 01:33


a tremendous amount of basic flying skills are no longer required to be taught.
It's worse than that. A tremendous amount is deemed either unneccessary or too expensive by the bean counters. Some operators insist the automation is used to get the absolute cheapest operation of the aircraft, and the bean counters do statistical analysis on the cost of training for some scenarios against the cost of the incident should it happen.

This is only the tip of the iceberg, and this incident is Airbus' Titanic, they have some serious soul searching to do in many areas.

LandIT 6th July 2012 01:34

Appendices
 
gums

Try the annexes au rapport final area at the bea site...
Rapport final

RR_NDB 6th July 2012 01:37

"the lack of understanding of what the aircraft was doing"
 
Hi,

MountainBear:

:confused:


What I do not comprehend is why they did not comprehend.
:confused:

A good machine is transparent. You ALWAYS control it. Through a constant comprehension.

:ok: ???

Mr Optimistic 6th July 2012 01:40

First off congratulations to the French institutions for their endeavours in retrieving the evidence and the subsequent analysis. Irrespective of sidesticks and yokes, aoa indicators , huds or other technical options, the fate of this aircraft was a consequence of the actions of 3 human beings over a 4 minute interval in their otherwise peaceful lives. No machine can be perfect so its an equation of competence, training, knowledge and readiness.

john_tullamarine 6th July 2012 02:10

a tremendous amount of basic flying skills are no longer required to be taught.

.. while the automatics are working ... which is why my old slide rule still sits in the bottom drawer (not that I would like to have to demonstrate my residual competence on the beast at a moment's notice).

Through a constant comprehension.

.. and apprehension ...

No machine can be perfect so its an equation of competence, training, knowledge and readiness.

.. not a bad summation.

Clearly there has to be a point beyond which diminishing returns makes additional training investment a moot point and not rationally justifiable .. however, establishing just where that point might reside depends a lot on what coloured glasses the viewer is using.

I have noted, in a variety of test circumstances, that a characteristic of the experienced pilot is a tenacious devotion to achieving the goal. This admirable trait is defeated if we don't give him/her a fighting last ditch chance to save the day when all the gee-whizz stuff takes a holiday.

gums 6th July 2012 02:21

Thanks IT, got the full CVR appendix and others.

As many here expected, a combination of training, CRM, and the control law reversions/displays all played a role in the tragedy.

I shall cut the crew a bit of slack. Not a helluva lot, but I have to look at their experience and previous training. And then there's the belief by a few that the "system" will take care of them.

I shall not cut the FBW mechanization a single atom of slack, nor the associated lack of clear displays to the crew as to what they had available ( so-called protections) nor basic steering guidance for the crew that had thousands of hours using the AP and not actually flying the jet. Don't mean to be harsh, but it's what I feel.

This will be a landmark accident report in terms of recommendations and findings and.....

My prayers are that we shall see improved training, improved CRM and maybe some changes in the reversion sequences of the FBW systems when the air data sensors fail.

Organfreak 6th July 2012 03:11

Well done, Gums. (We're all bz reading...)

:ooh:

RatherBeFlying 6th July 2012 03:13

I read the final report and much of what was discussed in these pages is there.

My only nit is that there is no discussion that the crew seems not to have been aware of or concerned about altitude until the 10,000s digit dropped off the altitude display, i.e. went from 5 digits to 4:

2 h 13 min 31,7 PF (*) au niveau cent -- FL 100
2 h 14 min 07,3
PNF je cabre PF ben il faudrait on est à quatre mille pieds
PNF I'm pitching up PF Well we need to we are at four thousand feet

and while recovery from 4000' would have been unlikely even then they did not think of stall.

Earlier on we have PF:

2 h 11 min 58,2 Je… j’ai, le problème
2 h 11 min 58,6 c’est que j’ai plus de vario là

who feels he has lost VS indication.

Perhaps if the VS pointer was red, thick and flashing it may have clued in the crew in time.

mm43 6th July 2012 03:16

Changes made by Air France - post accident
 

5.1.2 Modifications to reference systems
  • Documentation
    • Changeover to manufacturer’s documentation in English. The B777 division will be the first to be thus equipped in October 2012.

An interesting decision, but confirming a common language policy and easy comparison with similar documentation worldwide. IMO to be applauded.:D

VGCM66 6th July 2012 05:23

I keep reading the "• Appendix 1 CVR Transcript" because I think it does speak volumes about the mind set of the crew. I still think that humans factors were the main cause of this crash. There is a lot of paper work that contributes to diverge the attention of the crew from flying the airplane. CRM was no where to be found that night. How do you get a Cessna pilots license without knowing what Stall means? Who cares about over speed when altitude keeps dropping? 25,000 feet (actually 28,000) were casually lost at level 100 and keeping the wings level was more important? ...? :ugh:

Anyways, it is over for now until the next one.

FullWings 6th July 2012 06:30


I still think that humans factors were the main cause of this crash.
Yes, and just humans. The sad thing is, if at the first sign of anything going wrong, they'd all trooped out of the cockpit, sat down, had a coffee and a croissant and come back to their seats five minutes later, they'd probably still be alive to talk about it.

Lyman 6th July 2012 08:03

Something in the CVR transcript I have not seen til now... Very late in the text.

2:13:53.0. Page 31 CVR transcript (English)

Captain: "So wait...AP off". (sound of selector button....)

Que?

A33Zab 6th July 2012 08:17

RR DNB:
 

UAS IMMEDIATE DETECTION

Quote:
it is impossible.
It is POSSIBLE AND EASY! (Simple engineering solution)*

(*) Will brief on that important issue in Man machine interface Thread
I would suggest you apply for a job within AIB.

IMO the most sensible solution:

http://i474.photobucket.com/albums/r...ab999/Vsyn.jpg



To not understand - the AIRBII Man machine - and in particulair the displays, Ecam messages etc. for NON Airbus pilots is excusable.....but NOT TO Airbus pilots.


3.2 Causes of the Accident:
------




Thus, the accident resulted from the following succession of events:
  • Temporary inconsistency between the airspeed measurements, likely following the obstruction of the Pitot probes by ice crystals that, in particular, caused the autopilot disconnection and the reconfiguration to alternate law;
  • Inappropriate control inputs that destabilized the flight path;
  • The lack of any link by the crew between the loss of indicated speeds called out and the appropriate procedure;
  • The late identification by the PNF of the deviation from the flight path and the insufficient correction applied by the PF;
  • The crew not identifying the approach to stall, their lack of immediate response and the exit from the flight envelope;
  • The crew’s failure to diagnose the stall situation and consequently a lack of inputs that would have made it possible to recover from it.


philip2412 6th July 2012 08:35

question
 
I`m not apilot by far.But I`ve read a few a.i. reports, so i think i know a bit more than the common man on the street.

sp pls somebod answer my question.Would`nt a simple spirit level (water gauge) in the cp have heled ?
There a so many technical revolutions today ,flying to the stars.why is it not possible to have a display in the cp showing the attitude of the ac from outside (head up-tail down) with a big blinking red arrow under the fuselage pointing downward,combined with an alarm and a voice,saying "correct your attitude" which can`t be cancelled until this has been done ?

jcjeant 6th July 2012 08:52


Something in the CVR transcript I have not seen til now... Very late in the text.

2:13:53.0. Page 31 CVR transcript (English)

Captain: "So wait...AP off". (sound of selector button....)

Que?
The AP is off from the beginning of the event
I suppose the captain moved the AP selector to OFF (useless command IMHO)

sensor_validation 6th July 2012 08:56

Quote:
Is 60 kt really too low cut-out for widebody?


Originally Posted by ECAM_Actions (Post 7279812)
It would seem not slow enough. :ugh

As discussed at length before it is 60kt 'apparent airspeed' derived from pitot tubes which will all be significantly under-reading at high angle of attack. I'm sure someone can post a calculated trace of actual speed through the air, taking into account vertical and ground speed and estimated wind.

Why 60kt? To read a 10:1 turndown in airspeed in range 30-300 needs a 100:1 turndown on the pressure sensor - so just double the lower value to make sure we can measure it?

BOAC 6th July 2012 09:10


Originally Posted by ECAM Actions
Besides - the FD bars on the AF jet were commanding a CLIMB,

- I very much hope EA is not a pilot but if he/she is that this view is not common across the industry. We have seen this 'concept' a few times on the previous threads and it does demonstrate a complete lack of understanding as to how aircraft fly.

HazelNuts39 6th July 2012 10:02


Originally Posted by page93
The turbulence was modelled by introducing gusts so that the simulated parameters were copied from the parameters recorded.

That information was missing in Interim #3 and explains the AoA variations without pitch variations in the simulation prior to A/P disconnect. It remains odd that the normal acceleration trace does not reflect the AoA variations.

Originally Posted by page 188
In the specific case of alternate 2B law, some coefficients used in the longitudinal flight control law become speed-independent and are set for the maximum speed for the aeroplane configuration (330 kt in clean configuration).

This may explain the difficulties I encountered in trying to correlate the side stick commands to the airplane response.


Originally Posted by sensor validation
I'm sure someone can post a calculated trace of actual speed through the air, taking into account vertical and ground speed and estimated wind.

Apologies if it has been posted earlier. Strangely the report never mentions that the IAS becomes increasingly erroneous after the AoA exceeds 25 degrees.

http://i.imgur.com/ibRLy.gif?1

jackharr 6th July 2012 10:29

When was this lecture?


It certainly pre-dates AF447 accident but is creepily prescient.

Fox3WheresMyBanana 6th July 2012 11:21

Exactly. It's from 1997. Had the same stuff in 1988 in the RAF. Gave the same stuff in 1992.
This is why airlines should run their own training schools, ab initio, not rely on self-financed pilots getting trained by anyone they think will pass them at the most affordable price.

rgbrock1 6th July 2012 12:40

Question to all those who fly for a living or have done so:

Would you have, as Captain, taken a rest break right before traversing the ITCZ?

A question was raised in the final report about the timing of the Captain's break but was sort of brushed aside. Perhaps there would have been a different outcome had the Captain stayed awhile longer in the cockpit but that's easy enough to state in hindsight.


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