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Thunderstorm policies please!

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Old 13th Dec 2004, 07:43
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Thunderstorm policies please!

Hi,

I am researching other airline's thunderstorm avoidance policies.

Would appreciate you posting your airline's policy here, i.e. no takeoffs or landings with a TS within 5 miles, avoid cells by 10 miles airborne, etc.

If you don't want to post the airline's name, a country of origin would help.

Thanks.
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Old 16th Dec 2004, 01:34
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Check out the weather policy at BKK! Last time I was there was a NOTAM indicating that the airfield would never be closed for weather by ATC. Assessment of acceptable conditions was a matter for each airline / crew. Significant airlines like Air France, British Airways & Qantas continued to take-off and land during an active severe thunderstorm directly over the field. Give us an inch & we take a mile.
Sometimes to ensure safety, it might be necessary to deviate 50 miles if you are downwind from a tropical CB, but on the upwind side the vertical face is so smooth that 50 metres can be safe. Its not hard to understand why stated distances are usually for guidance only.
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Old 16th Dec 2004, 07:07
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Motorola,
Today there is virtually nothing we can add to the aviation culture, when it comes to thunderstorms, windshear, hail strikes etc...

The problem is no longer knowing what to do, but being willing to apply those good basic principles we know very well.

The major problem is with weak captains unable to resist commercial pressures.

If the French captain sees the British one taking off out of BKK with the same airplane, will he be strong enough to say "NEGATIVE, park it. We go later."?

Another big issue is the loss of face problem.

Come on, are you really scared of a few bumps? That's not the end of the world, after all, and we surely don't want to be overzealous!


Until the day fleet captains will not sincerely shake your hand for your diversion/huge delay, we'll continue to have pilots having a hard time resisting commercial pressures and loss of face risks.

LEM
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Old 16th Dec 2004, 10:34
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Come on, are you really scared of a few bumps? That's not the end of the world
Have YOU ever been in a thunderstorm? The consequences can be fatal! The final decision rests with the Captain. I have never been patted on the back for departing, nor questioned for delaying a departure due to weather. That's what I am paid for.
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Old 16th Dec 2004, 13:11
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Capt Fathom, I hope you got my point, that was ironic, of course we are advocating exactly the same point!

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Old 16th Dec 2004, 13:18
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Down to the individual crew, surely? Having seen thousands of bad weather situations in the London TMA I'd suspect that nothing concrete is written down. One crew will go straight through a storm cell without batting an eyelid and another crew behind - same type, same company - will divert round half of southern England. I kid you not!

Same when I was a tower controller at Heathrow - some guys wouldn't think of taking off if there was a cell nearby... they just sat there whilst others did. Some would request turns off the SID; others wouldn't.. It's all Black Magic!

Last edited by HEATHROW DIRECTOR; 17th Dec 2004 at 12:47.
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Old 16th Dec 2004, 14:21
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Heathrow Director

Did LHR actually close in situations where there was a heavy storm on or near the airport or did it remain open regardless?
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Old 16th Dec 2004, 15:17
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Heathrow Director, “Down to the individual crew, surely?”, but that is just one of the problems along with errors of judgement, lack of knowledge of the hazards, lack of world experience, associated threats, turbulence, ice, hail, lightning, etc, etc. Spot on LEM

Having penetrated large tropical storms in a civil aircraft suitably equipped for research purposes, I report that Vra only just provides protection against both a full stall and the published ‘g’ limits (plus and minus) all within a 2 sec period, but does little to protect the aircraft composite structures from hail damage or ice accumulation.

Even the most innocuous Cb can spawn a microburst; let alone turbulence, lightning, and hail at considerable lateral distances. We often forget the old-timers advice about ‘humbleys’, bumbleys’, and grumbleys’: avoid, avoid, avoid. 10 nm is a good start, but if you know what the tops are and it's above the tropopause then make it 30 nm. For these large storms, even the more experienced operators in the tropics stay in the hotel.

Many problems stem from the use (misuse) of modern wx radar, enabling crews to clearly see where the weather is; except for overconfidence, poor judgement, and cutting the corner.

Why do we forget so many hard-learnt lessons?

Heathrow Director, IMHO, you ain’t seen nothing yet.
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Old 16th Dec 2004, 15:39
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<<Did LHR actually close in situations where there was a heavy storm on or near the airport or did it remain open regardless?>>

I've never known the airport to close except in some bad snow conditions so, yes, it remained open. Neither ATC nor the Airport Authority have the power to close the airport because of bad weather so far as I am aware.

<<Heathrow Director, IMHO, you ain’t seen nothing yet.>>

And I probable never will, Alf, having been retired for 2 years!. My comments are based on many years of experience - and extreme curiosity!

Happy cumulo-bumpulus!
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Old 16th Dec 2004, 20:56
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Did LHR actually close in situations where there was a heavy storm on or near the airport or did it remain open regardless?
I think the main problem (apart from the fact that as HD says, ATC can't close it except for u/s runways) is that ATC in the UK are blissfully unaware of any weather as they don't have it on their screens.

This is a major drawback as most of the airtime on a CB day is taken up with requests for weather avoidance, especially when a storm drifts through one of the holding patterns. It is annoying to get a heading which takes you right through the middle of an ugly red patch - this is the ONE area where I prefer flying in the USA (not that it's the fault of the UK controllers).

Also, not all airborne weather radars are created equal (or even operated in a consistent manner) so everyone sees something slightly different, which must be even more confusing to the audience on the ground...
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Old 16th Dec 2004, 21:04
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Thanks LEM. I did misread your post (the 'loss of face' part). Note to self...RTFQ.
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Old 16th Dec 2004, 21:16
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Thunderstorms are fatal, all the above avoidance advice is very good... it's quite simple really, chance your arm with a thunderstorm and you are surrendering your fate and that of your passengers to chance..do not do it. If you cannot go round the storm, turn back. If you are on the ground wanting to take off when there is a storm in the way, don't, until it is plainly safe to do so. I make no apologies for sounding high and mighty, I am a commercial pilot too, well aware of the pressures we face to get the job done. Just respect the weather for what it is; bigger than all of us. (Climbs down off soap box).
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Old 16th Dec 2004, 21:20
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I can't disagree with you there but have you ever flown through the ITCZ on a dark night?
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Old 17th Dec 2004, 00:54
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We use a Collins WRX700.

Light to medium rain sometimes paints red at low altitudes even in CALibrate.

I then have to interpret the echoe shape and guess whether the red is a cell or widespread monsoon type rain.

Anyone else offer advice on how else to combat this apparent over sensitivity at low altitudes?
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Old 17th Dec 2004, 01:08
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For what it's worth. Climbing out from Fiji in a 737-200 for Wallis Island some one hour away. Afternoon trip with low cloud and rain forecast for Wallis. On the horizon on track was the greatest line of black cloud that I have ever seen. It went from horizon to horizon and my guess was from sea level to 40,000 ft plus.

We flew towards this lot and had a closer look at 80 miles on radar. We were in clear air at 27,000 and in continuous moderate turbulence. Radar showed a green mass with flecks of yellow and red and I guessed that severe rain attenuation was taking place.

I got that warning sixth sense feeling that this was not your usual Cb front. Something said don't go any further or someone is going to get hurt. We called ATC at Fiji and got a clearance to return to Fiji which we did. Passengers and crew stayed overnight and departed for Wallis next morning. At Wallis, the weather was fine and there was a lot of water on the airport. No problem with landing.

Turned out that for our ETA at Wallis the previous afternoon the actual winds were 75 knots, torrential tropical rain and runway flooded. The forecast was almost benign but the tropical depression had started with little warning.
One of the better decisions I have made in my career, thank goodness.

25 years on I still can see that cloud formation in my mind and figured I had looked at death. Sorry to appear to exaggerate but it really did scare me.
 
Old 17th Dec 2004, 06:48
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Hudson, you should have been in command of the French 744 which departed Joburg for Paris some years ago, dispatched with the wx radar INOP!!!! and for a night flight!!!!


That son of a ***** didn't want to send back to the hotel 400 pax, and he figured out he could cross the whole Africa, at night, watching out the window, like Lindbergh did!

The result was a mess, roughly abeam Senegal, if I remember correctly, an emergency diversion to Marseille, and the DEATH of an old lady thrown onto the ceiling.

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Old 17th Dec 2004, 12:06
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LEM. Just goes to show, doesn't it? In those days my company in the Pacific occasionally had problems with lack of spares for weather radar and I have had a few hairy times with u/s weather radar over the Pacific.

Funny thing though was that for years in the Royal Australian Air Force I flew heavy bombers and transports without radar and got beaten up by Cb's and was never unduly alarmed. Where ignorance is bliss, I suppose.
 
Old 17th Dec 2004, 12:46
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FullWings,
Yes, many times whilst flying C130 airbridge sorties ASI-MPA. Guess we just got lucky that we were able to avoid the worst but I do know how big and scary those CBs can be.
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Old 17th Dec 2004, 12:50
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<<ATC in the UK are blissfully unaware of any weather as they don't have it on their screens.>>

You're right.. We used to be able to see weather on radar... until we were given "super new technology"!
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Old 17th Dec 2004, 16:48
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<<ATC in the UK are blissfully unaware of any weather as they don't have it on their screens.>>

You're right.. We used to be able to see weather on radar... until we were given "super new technology"!
For the life of me I can't see why this facility was removed. The Met. Office has radar coverage of the whole UK now and it would be quite simple to have a quasi-realtime feed to any controller who wanted it. (I can get it on my home PC so...)

I'm sure ATC build up a mental picture of where NOT to send people but only after a lot of unneccessary chit-chat. Must be even more difficult when storms are moving/building. I have to say I have fairly often taken avoiding action then told ATC when I could get a word in edgeways - not the ideal state of affairs. If you guys on the ground could actually SEE what we can up here it would take a bit of stress out of both our jobs...
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