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Safest Airlines Announced

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Old 1st Mar 2005, 00:26
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Safest Airlines Announced

German Aviation Magazine "Aero International" has announced the Worlds 50 Safest Airlines.

Based on statistics collected from 1973-2004 and factored with the mileage flown by each particular airline.

1. Finnair
2. Qantas
3. Cathay Pacific
.......
7. Ryan Air
8. Easyjet
.......
50. Turkish Airlines
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 01:24
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Where does KAL sit in the list?
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 05:35
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How do you ´factor´ if the number of accidents is zero for several airlines ? Zero divided by any flight mileage stays zero.
Obviously this is the ´mileage between accidents´ number.

Anyway I just flew one of the six Airlines listed, THY (3 times), and am still alive. So much for statistics
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 07:00
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That's right - THY is one of the world's 50 safest airlines. You should be alive after 3 flights.
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 08:19
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Appropo THY: Many years ago an engineer from THY helped me change a gear box on a military flying machine. He was one of the most proffesional and helpful men I have had the pleasure to meet!
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 08:30
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rubik101, are you suggesting then that there is a problem with their maintenance! or conversely are you saying the maintenance is fine it must therefore be something else!!
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 08:45
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This is absolute rubbish. How can Finnair be 'more safe' than Cathay Pacific, Ryanair and easyJet if none of them have had any accidents? You will note that I do not include Qantas as they in fact have had a very spectacular accident in Bankok when a 747 ended up on a golf course. Yet somehow they have ended up as number 2! There was, as I recall, a drive not to write the aircraft off lest it become the first ever hull loss in the airline's history. Any airline that has not had an accident has to be further up the safety tree, and by definition in equal position with those other airlines that are accident-free.
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 09:15
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As a slight aside from this, has anyone in the UK seen the new Qantas TV ad, which mentions their safety record? Is it just me, or does anyone else see this as a dangerous route to go down? Something to do with putting all their eggs in one basket?
Or is that just me?
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 09:20
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more to that on www.jacdec.de
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 11:07
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phonix: Yes indeed. I started a thread about it in (I think) PAX about a month ago. Responses from crew (including from Qantas) were horrified by the marketing people doing this. No crew likes to have this said in adverts.

I half heard a BA advert on TV at the weekend and I thought I heard a claim about saftey but did not hear it for clear and so must listen out for another. If BA have started this too, then it is very sad. But, as I said, I am not SURE that is what was said.
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 11:25
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Yes well who decided on 1973 as a good start date?

Look what happened in 1972 and earlier...





06.15.1972 Cathay Pacific Airways Convair CV-880 Fatalities 81 /81 Pleiku, Vietnam VR-HFZ


(and earlier still.....) Cathay Pacific Airways Douglas DC-4 Fatalities 10:18
Hainan, China VR-HEU

Isnt it funny how the survey was just after this date....

And Finnair....: 1961

Finnair Douglas DC-3 Fatalities 25:25
Koivulahti, Finland OH-LCC


11.08.1963 Finnair Douglas DC-3 Fatalities 22:24
Mariehamn, Finland


We have already heard about QF (which didnt actually kill anyone), what about the rest?




Just shows that Statistics can be manipulated any way...............
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 11:49
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For the complete list go to: http://www.aerointernational.de/
Click on "UNFALLSTATISTIK" on the left hand side.
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 12:07
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I wonder if the pr department of the Oneworld alliance suggested the cut off date for the nice people at the Aero International..

-J
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 12:09
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Looking at the link provided (and with my rusty german!!) the list states the 'safety record of the 50 Largest Airlines' not the 50 safest airlines.

Just an observation!!!
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 12:09
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Touch me for luck

WOW! I have indeed lived a charmed life - I've flown fully half of the #25 thru 50 carriers and I'm still alive (or at least think so...)
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 12:13
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Korean Air and China airlines shouldnt really be flying still,never mind on any saftey list.Combined,they've killed nearly as many people as 911.
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 12:49
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Just remember - we have

little white lies
lies
big lies
statistics
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 12:51
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The absence of KAL and China airlines can only be because they don't make the top 50. More interesting, I would have thought, though the statistical basis of this exercise is still dubious, to list the "best" through to the worst, rather than simply arranging the most used 50 airlines according to accident rate.
Two other observations. Qantas mentioning their safety record is dodgy. It may be legend, but in the early 1960s a US airline chairman was boasting of his safety record only to be informed as he left the podium of a major fatal accident. I always understood that since then it was regarded as v bad form to refer to your own safety record.
And then, on being asked about Qantas safety record a few years ago, a UAL executive responded that it would take them 25 years to fly as many miles as they do in one. And I believe there was a major fatal in 1968 or so with one of the subsidiary Qantas airlines, but that is not included in the stats.
Also, plotting the number of fatalities against passenger revenue kilometres can be misleading. THY, in the famous crash outside Paris in 74, had double the number of expected pax because a strike at Heathrow had led to the cancellation of a BEA flight and their transfer to that flight. THY therefore took a major hit statistically for reasons nothing to do with the operating circumstances. Much more sensible to plot numbers of fatal crashes against cycles. More faithful to the reality, and it would result in a completely different ranking. There are 100 more caveats, though, and any statistician will tell you that this sort of ranking is highly unscientific.
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Old 1st Mar 2005, 17:27
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There used to be a website, which I think was called "am I going down". Yes I know it sound a bit dodgy but, if you entered all the information such as airline, route, travel dates etc it would work out the propbability of the unthinkable happening based on previous airline records.

No sure if it still exists but it was 'good fun' comparing data.
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Old 2nd Mar 2005, 00:36
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The top four or so, no doubt, an excellent safety record. I do feel you must take into account the US carriers. The number of operations these ailines perform in 30 minutes, are more than most of the top three in one day.
In any event I just hope no airline PR or ops departments pay any attention to this. A slipperey slope.
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