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Search: Posts Made By: ThinkTanker
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Forum: Military Aviation
17th Feb 2015, 13:49
Replies: 119
Views: 31,071
Posted By ThinkTanker

Thanks to all for their comments. I'm away for a...

Thanks to all for their comments. I'm away for a couple of days and will respond Thursday/Friday.

TTr
Forum: Military Aviation
16th Feb 2015, 20:29
Replies: 119
Views: 31,071
Posted By ThinkTanker

Henra / Willard: I've never claimed that this...

Henra / Willard: I've never claimed that this offers the same level of capability/survivability as CASD Trident. But that's not the exam question here, which is "what's the cheapest way of delivering...
Forum: Military Aviation
16th Feb 2015, 19:38
Replies: 119
Views: 31,071
Posted By ThinkTanker

N-a-B Fine, N-a-B. But you've still...

N-a-B



Fine, N-a-B. But you've still not answered the question of "how small a conventional force are you prepared to tolerate to have CASD Trident?" It's a fair question, as asked by LO.
...
Forum: Military Aviation
16th Feb 2015, 12:56
Replies: 119
Views: 31,071
Posted By ThinkTanker

N-A-B I had noticed the paucity of the...

N-A-B

I had noticed the paucity of the surface fleet, which is one of the reasons the plan funds an additional 4 x T26. Not enough, but a start. And calling people names isn't a particularly...
Forum: Military Aviation
16th Feb 2015, 12:00
Replies: 119
Views: 31,071
Posted By ThinkTanker

You're welcome to you opinion, JimLad, but (i)...

You're welcome to you opinion, JimLad, but (i) you're completely wrong on my motivation in writing this and (ii) others don't agree with you.

From the Media Release...
Forum: Military Aviation
16th Feb 2015, 11:51
Replies: 119
Views: 31,071
Posted By ThinkTanker

N-a-B Always good to debate. Can I suggest...

N-a-B

Always good to debate. Can I suggest that you have a look at John Ainslie's meticulous paper (http://www.swordofdamocles.org/pdf/UnacceptableDamage.pdf) on Unacceptable Damage?

What does...
Forum: Military Aviation
16th Feb 2015, 11:06
Replies: 119
Views: 31,071
Posted By ThinkTanker

JimLad, The carriers would not be expected...

JimLad,

The carriers would not be expected to be within striking range at all times. In the same way as QRA numbers varied in line with the international situation, the carrier deployment would be...
Forum: Military Aviation
16th Feb 2015, 09:42
Replies: 119
Views: 31,071
Posted By ThinkTanker

Thanks to all for taking the time to engage with...

Thanks to all for taking the time to engage with it, esp. ShotOne reading late last night. And yes, the LDs official position is risible, though Nick Harvey appears to have modified it in his speech...
Forum: Military Aviation
15th Feb 2015, 20:22
Replies: 1,628
Views: 481,374
Posted By ThinkTanker

And can't add up, LO.

And can't add up, LO.
Forum: Military Aviation
15th Feb 2015, 20:21
Replies: 119
Views: 31,071
Posted By ThinkTanker

Post Alternatives to Trident: New Paper

With thanks to those who contributed to my question on how F-35C carrier conversion training would've been conducted, CentreForum's new alternatives to Trident paper...
Forum: Military Aviation
12th Dec 2014, 11:30
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Many thanks to all, and apologies for not...

Many thanks to all, and apologies for not reverting sooner - a combination of things, exacerbated by password reset incompetence on my part.

The thread drift has been very helpful, and has helped...
Forum: Military Aviation
28th Nov 2014, 15:28
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Jimlad1 Interesting, many thanks. The...

Jimlad1



Interesting, many thanks. The paper as it stands sees a predominately land-based force, with the carriers to provide flexible basing. When was the last time free-fall operated off the...
Forum: Military Aviation
28th Nov 2014, 11:36
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

N-a-B We can agree to disagree on this...

N-a-B



We can agree to disagree on this one.



On a party level, no - Nick Harvey et al have piloted a 2/3 optionally armed SSBN policy through. CentreForum is independent of the party...
Forum: Military Aviation
27th Nov 2014, 18:16
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Archimedes wrote: All have a viable...

Archimedes wrote:



All have a viable route out, but I'm expecting a 25% loss rate. In policy terms as a one-off mission against an existential threat (and remember, this is against the most...
Forum: Military Aviation
27th Nov 2014, 17:29
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Indeed, LO. But at the moment neither Dave-A...

Indeed, LO.

But at the moment neither Dave-A or Dave-C is wired for the nuclear mission either but the NATO DCA mission means that Dave-A will have to be. We've budgeted the full amount estimated...
Forum: Military Aviation
27th Nov 2014, 10:14
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

LO, Interesting question. In short,...

LO,



Interesting question. In short, no, we haven't.

Tbh, the reason was cost, though data was also an issue with the Storm Shadow-N (e.g., the TAR tells us that a new cruise warhead would...
Forum: Military Aviation
27th Nov 2014, 09:30
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

WEBF, Telling people in advance how...

WEBF,



Telling people in advance how and when you'd use the nuclear force. Here's a RUSI paper on it: https://www.rusi.org/publications/whitehallreports/ref:O4BFD56421A39C/

Cheers,

TTr
Forum: Military Aviation
27th Nov 2014, 08:37
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Archimedes, 78 or 79 of the 80...

Archimedes,



78 or 79 of the 80 launched, with one or two weapons per aircraft, and assuming double targeting of each weapon by missiles with a Pk of 85%. No assumption is made on using an EMP...
Forum: Military Aviation
26th Nov 2014, 19:51
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Thanks Cobalt42. We've been told that the...

Thanks Cobalt42.

We've been told that the carrier conversion shouldn't be too complex, but won't be cheap (this is a BAES product, after all). How "not cheap" is not clear.

On the SSA, Marham...
Forum: Military Aviation
26th Nov 2014, 16:57
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Not cheap, but not as expensive at Trident...

Not cheap, but not as expensive at Trident successor or through life costs. Would you care to hazard at guess at the cost of the RFA rework, cobalt42?
Forum: Military Aviation
26th Nov 2014, 16:55
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Which is where declaratory policy comes in. ...

Which is where declaratory policy comes in.



Simply, the cost of Successor is vast, and will consume 25-33% of the EP budget each year, every year, for 15 years. At a time when the procurement...
Forum: Military Aviation
26th Nov 2014, 16:08
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Sandiego89, many thanks for your interest. ...

Sandiego89, many thanks for your interest.

I seem to have lost my response to you in the ether somewhere - apologies. Take II:



Complete weapons cannot be transferred without breaking the...
Forum: Military Aviation
26th Nov 2014, 15:53
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

HH, Look forward to your comments when...

HH,

Look forward to your comments when you've had a chance to read it. As the Trident Alternatives Review showed, the Moscow Criterion is no longer the essence of deterrence. We are quite clear...
Forum: Military Aviation
26th Nov 2014, 14:31
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Thanks for your interest, Sandiego89 ...

Thanks for your interest, Sandiego89



The NPT rules out the transfer of weapons, so the warheads would be built at AWE. No obvious problem with the purchase of non-nuclear US components, but ...
Forum: Military Aviation
26th Nov 2014, 07:26
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Post GK121, Noted; the driver here is to keep the...

GK121,

Noted; the driver here is to keep the nuclear submarine industrial base intact to allow Astute replacement in the 2030s. Too frequently the backup argument for Trident is that Successor is...
Forum: Military Aviation
25th Nov 2014, 18:57
Replies: 7,470
Views: 2,409,892
Posted By ThinkTanker

Carter is a former submariner, so he has the...

Carter is a former submariner, so he has the third Seawolf class SSN named after him (USS Jimmy Carter (SSN-23) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia...
Forum: Military Aviation
25th Nov 2014, 18:47
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Many thanks to all for their contributions. ...

Many thanks to all for their contributions.

I was assuming that it would be something similar to the FN @ Meridian, but in the longer term it is interesting to see that the French may also have...
Forum: Military Aviation
23rd Nov 2014, 19:36
Replies: 52
Views: 10,208
Posted By ThinkTanker

Question UK Carrirer Qualification for F-35C

Evening,

I appreciate that this is (currently!) a question which won't arise. But I'm writing a thinktank paper (hence new and exciting handle) which looks at returning to F-35C, EMALS and traps...
Showing results 1 to 28 of 28


 
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