Originally Posted by Gary Brown
(Post 11219388)
Original Mandarin CAAC Prelim Report - ???3?21???MU5735??????????????????
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Originally Posted by FlightDetent
(Post 11219450)
This looks the same as post 437. Which is a press release not the report itself, which is said to be 'sent to ICAO'.
It is a tad odd that the Madarin and English press release summaries of the report have some small but significant differences (which I had not spotted!). My sense of course would be that the Mandarin is the better version, and the AV Herald summary of the that report is (so far as I can tell) pretty accurate as to its contents. Either the "official" English version is simply slightly incorrect (which, even in China, is not unknown!) or we must await news of any significance in the differences. |
@gearlever - “Interesting, the horizontal stabiliser is not mentioned. On AvHerald it is....”
Finding the horizontal stabiliser was reported, first by journalists on-site and then by officials involved in the investigation, from early on and repeated since. |
For the impact that occurred here, it is not surprising that the horizontal stab was identified in the wreckage. It will have less fragmentation than the forward parts of the aircraft. The wings would have substantial fragmentation, but inner span sections of the spar will be identifiable, The engine cores (shafts, gears, not necessarily aux cases) actuators, control, gear, flap drives etc, would be usually in identifiable components, the further back in the structure the less fragmentation of associated quadrants/cranks etc.
The presence of the stabilizer doesn't rule out some control issues, but it still remains a remote possibility for initiating events. Had parts of the stab been found 12km away it would be a point of interest, but absent that it is not indicative of cause. Even if found 12km away, the failure mode would be of significance, as would be the trajectory analysis of the part to determine when it would have separated. Controls are not indicating a factor as yet other than the obvious fact that the plane didn't get to its destination, so presumably, at some point, the flight path was not as desired, or not. |
I don't know what was the cause of the accident. What I DO know is the Chineses already know the cause of the accident, for two reasons:
1.I flew 10 years in China until the pandemic came, and, I know that all airplanes in China continually download both CVR and FDR through out the flight and send it to the cloud. They then keep it for 3 month. So, the bulls..t that the "black boxes"are severely damaged is just an excuse to not spread the real causes of this accident. I had a small incident during the taxi departing for an 8 hour flight. By the time I landed (8 hours afterwards) they already had both fdr and cvr data in hands. 2. IF they had any doubt it was a plane failure , they would never have put the 738 back in service again. |
Originally Posted by A-3TWENTY
(Post 11222026)
I know that all airplanes in China continually download both CVR and FDR through out the flight and send it to the cloud.
Do all the Boeings and Airbuses flying in China have custom modifications that allow them to stream CVR/FDR data? |
All this conspiracy about the Chinese release of the FDR/CVR findings when both are in Washington (have been for weeks) being analysed by the US. As for streamed CVR/FDR, yeah good one.... pretty good evidence that you may have no idea what FOQA /FDM or ACARS is.
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Originally Posted by DaveReidUK
(Post 11222035)
Assuming that's true, why don't all airlines/countries do that?
4D is the position and 15 min s the maximum or target reporting latency. For the 737 class and above, sure all B-reg have it, national security matters. Airborne connectivity is not a problem, definitely not on widebodies. QCVR is also a fact since around 2019 at the latest. During the various Safety Warfare Weeks (=bonus punishment periods) the culprits breaching sterile flight deck with chatter would be named and shamed with an internal memo, for instance. Wireless QARs (LTE modems) have been the standard on Airbii for at least 10 years. The units I was familiar then with had 3 SIM card slots BTW. The story above may have a more trivial explanation if the taxi mixup was in China. Viewed as a breach of an ATC command this lands the pilot in very hot water. It's not beyond imagination the report from ATC reached the company and the 8 hours of elapsed time was used to plan exactly what to do. After landing the standard LTE WQAR+CVR sent the data to the mothership and decision was reached swiftly, especially with a foreigner pilot to blame.. ATC supplying their audio inside the given time frame is also very feasible. Having said that, linking the DMU to the SATCOM communication channel does only need technology that is presently available. Pulling larger data on request can also be done, on top of the regular 4D/15. Still, indicriminate streaming broadcast is not realistic, from my point of view. This comes back to the crash discussed, data is in the US and the rest ADS-B is public domain. Probably nothing in between. |
Originally Posted by FlightDetent
(Post 11222110)
After the MAS disappearance which has become a bit of a 'landing on the moon' conspiracy event in E Asia, PRC implemented 4D/15 mandate.
4D is the position and 15 min s the maximum or target reporting latency. For the 737 class and above, sure all B-reg have it, national security matters. Airborne connectivity is not a problem, definitely not on widebodies. QCVR is also a fact since around 2019 at the latest. During the various Safety Warfare Weeks (=bonus punishment periods) the culprits breaching sterile flight deck with chatter would be named and shamed with an internal memo, for instance. Wireless QARs (LTE modems) have been the standard on Airbii for at least 10 years. The units I was familiar then with had 3 SIM card slots BTW. The story above may have a more trivial explanation if the taxi mixup was in China. Viewed as a breach of an ATC command this lands the pilot in very hot water. It's not beyond imagination the report from ATC reached the company and the 8 hours of elapsed time was used to plan exactly what to do. After landing the standard LTE WQAR+CVR sent the data to the mothership and decision was reached swiftly, especially with a foreigner pilot to blame.. ATC supplying their audio inside the given time frame is also very feasible. Having said that, linking the DMU to the SATCOM communication channel does only need technology that is presently available. Pulling larger data on request can also be done, on top of the regular 4D/15. Still, indicriminate streaming broadcast is not realistic, from my point of view. This comes back to the crash discussed, data is in the US and the rest ADS-B is public domain. Probably nothing in between. |
Thanks for the details, one piece of info actually is a bit of a surprise.
Not about technology though. |
I checked a couple local news sources, it seems that at least some Chinese airlines have started to use a system called "X-CVR", which can record up to 8000hrs of cockpit voice recordings with "quality higher than MP3".
It has also been suggested that the so-called X-CVR system supports downloading the recordings directly to USB drive, and can even transmit the recordings via 3G/4G wireless network automatically to specific servers. Reports say Hainan Airlines has started to fit its 737 and A320 fleets with X-CVR as early as 2018. So it looks like such technology already exists in China, although it's unclear whether MU has started to fit their 737s with the system. |
Originally Posted by menphix
(Post 11222954)
I checked a couple local news sources, it seems that at least some Chinese airlines have started to use a system called "X-CVR", which can record up to 8000hrs of cockpit voice recordings with "quality higher than MP3".
It has also been suggested that the so-called X-CVR system supports downloading the recordings directly to USB drive, and can even transmit the recordings via 3G/4G wireless network automatically to specific servers. Reports say Hainan Airlines has started to fit its 737 and A320 fleets with X-CVR as early as 2018. So it looks like such technology already exists in China, although it's unclear whether MU has started to fit their 737s with the system. |
Originally Posted by DaveReidUK
(Post 11223008)
We've already been told that all Chinese airlines are already continuously streaming FDR and CVR data - is that not the case ?
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Originally Posted by menphix
(Post 11222954)
I
It has also been suggested that the so-called X-CVR system supports downloading the recordings directly to USB drive, and can even transmit the recordings via 3G/4G wireless network automatically to specific servers. At a typical cruising altitude you won’t have any coverage. Even at much lower cruising altitudes, the coverage would be patchy and handovers (when you move from one cell to the next) can be troublesome. So I doubt 3G/4G or any G for that matter has the capability to provide continues streaming capabilities for planes. It doesn’t do so, when I fly my little single prop planes at much lower altitudes. Jeroen |
just thinking …
If you record while airborne and store while airborne, then you could start to transfer that data from a position that puts you in reach of the ground station. From the ground station you can then distribute it over higher volume networks. That would make it possible to have data for analysis before the plane arrives at the gate. So precise language is needed here … is it continuous any altitude air to ground streaming… or batch/burst when in reach… the functionality is similar but the performance quite different… bandwidth and range … the crash area is quite remote and rough by the way and even the SAR had Comms issues … so even a working batch system would have had coverage issues, |
Originally Posted by DaveReidUK
(Post 11223008)
We've already been told that all Chinese airlines are already continuously streaming FDR and CVR data - is that not the case ?
QACVR Solution-DONICA It’s little wonder that China has a reputation as a ‘surveillance State’. 🙄 Perhaps in-flight 4G is also possible: IN-FLIGHT BROADBAND REACHES NEW HIGHS WITH 4G SOLUTION FROM THALES |
DONICA stuff : very interesting , especially this part :
helping to provide evidence for the safety investigation pilot evaluation and responsibility partition. I guess the video camera will be next.. |
Originally Posted by ATC Watcher
(Post 11223190)
Totally against the spirit of ICAO incident investigations . and if I read correctly it goes far beyond 3 hours and the CB cannot be pulled on that one ..
I guess the video camera will be next.. I wonder what their unions had to say about it. LOL 🤣 |
If I, as slf, can us the free wifi on QANTAS flights to send text and much larger image files then why is it difficult to send CVR and FDR info back to base?
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Originally Posted by CBD3000
(Post 11223207)
If I, as slf, can us the free wifi on QANTAS flights to send text and much larger image files then why is it difficult to send CVR and FDR info back to base?
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