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-   -   Scrapping of A380 (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/621355-scrapping-a380.html)

flysmiless 10th May 2019 05:45

Scrapping of A380
 
Scrapping of two A380s lined at Tarbes L airport..

Actually these aircraft are removed from operations due to lack of business isn't it?
Not because of end of engine or structural hours isn't it?

If above is true, can't they use it for cargo only rather than scrapping,,


CurtainTwitcher 10th May 2019 05:55

Depends upon the economics. Conversion costs, fuel burn vs likely returns. Likely to be nil resale value.

Imagegear 10th May 2019 06:00

Might make a really nice three up and four down. Well insulated and at less than the cost of a typical Notting Hill Semi.

IG

cobol 10th May 2019 07:25

It's an environmental solution to the housing crisis. Mounted vertically, the holds can be the lift shaft & service tunnel etc. The wings can be fitted with solar panels and the top flat would be a penthouse for high net worth individuals.

Looks better than some of Foster's creations as well..

kcockayne 10th May 2019 07:46

I think that it was originally stated that Hi Fly were taking 2 A380s, although this does not appear to have happened. Does anyone have any updated info. on Hi Fly's plans for the 380 ?

Trav a la 10th May 2019 08:11


Originally Posted by kcockayne (Post 10467849)
I think that it was originally stated that Hi Fly were taking 2 A380s, although this does not appear to have happened. Does anyone have any updated info. on Hi Fly's plans for the 380 ?

1X A380 is flying for HiFly Malta.

Less Hair 10th May 2019 08:13

It flew for Air Austral end of april.
The two scrapped A380s are very early ones that are non standard. Parting them out is more profitable than converting their cabins and reuse them as airliners.

Rated De 10th May 2019 08:21

Rather amazing for an aircraft with development costs over $9.5 billion that the service life of the aircraft is far less than two decades. With a list price of USD$445 million that is a big bet gone wrong.
Given the hand and glove approach of the manufacturer with potential customer airlines, it shows that at times even the industry gets it wrong.

Less Hair 10th May 2019 08:30

The A380 concept matured over tens of years. While the airline industry moved from carrying more and more passengers through hubs to point to point with smaller aircraft and a focus on business travellers. This is why there are 787 and A350 now.

Rated De 10th May 2019 08:33


Originally Posted by Less Hair (Post 10467889)
The A380 concept matured over tens of years. While the airline industry moved from carrying more and more passengers through hubs to point to point with smaller aircraft and a focus on business travellers. This is why there are 787 and A350 now.

Agreed.

The pressure to be fuel efficient will only increase as the drums of climate change continue to beat.
A whole different discussion. However what is pertinent is that the industry perceives a 'business as usual' approach with incremental technology changes will be sufficient. The jury is out on that one..

DaveReidUK 10th May 2019 08:51


Originally Posted by Less Hair (Post 10467875)
The two scrapped A380s are very early ones that are non standard. Parting them out is more profitable than converting their cabins and reuse them as airliners.

Though they did both fly for SIA for nearly ten years.


Less Hair 10th May 2019 08:57

And then SIA ordered five new built ones to phase out their five oldest. SIA was the first airline to operate A380s. Airbus optimized many details over the years, materials, wing twist, more common cabin systems and such.
The earliest aircraft were to much custom tailored and had needed wiring and rib repairs.

flying phil 2007 10th May 2019 09:18

Those two early heavier A380’s were owned by a leasing syndicate.. they have now cashed in their investment and made a very good return. Worth more as parts. That’s business.

Less Hair 10th May 2019 10:54

The lease didn't work out as planned. They had hoped for at least a full second term. The first term mainly covers the aircraft and the leasing company's cost, the second term usually is the profitable one for the investors. SIA took them only for one term (as planned) and no second term customer could be found.

atakacs 10th May 2019 11:32


Originally Posted by flying phil 2007 (Post 10467934)
Those two early heavier A380’s were owned by a leasing syndicate.. they have now cashed in their investment and made a very good return. Worth more as parts. That’s business.

Do you have any backing for that (I mean the "good deal" part)? My understanding is that their total return was a little over 1% p.a.

737 Driver 10th May 2019 14:18


Originally Posted by flysmiless (Post 10467766)

If above is true, can't they use it for cargo only rather than scrapping,,

Concur with why these two aircraft are being parted out. It is also my understanding that the A380 will not make an easy cargo conversion because of the work required to beef up the cabin floor. Maybe someone else who has a better background can comment?

Jack330 10th May 2019 14:51

Bad investment
 
I wonder what Emirates will do with more than 100 380’s in the future, unlike a B777 or 787 or even a 767, the A380 will have a value of zero in a decade or so.
basically a big part of ek fleet could be considered a loss of money, I don’t think airbus will help at all since the production stopped and there’s no aftermarket at all.
The good times are over for those Middle East carriers, they all lose money despite the fake forget numbers they show off to the public.
A350, B787 B777x are the future I guess

tdracer 10th May 2019 18:39


Originally Posted by 737 Driver (Post 10468208)
Concur with why these two aircraft are being parted out. It is also my understanding that the A380 will not make an easy cargo conversion because of the work required to beef up the cabin floor. Maybe someone else who has a better background can comment?

The A380 simply does not pencil out well as a freighter. Max Zero Fuel Weight is too low - it has great range but can't carry a heavy load - and the cargo market is based around 3,000 to 4,000 mile legs so range above that doen't have much value (747 Freighters seldom even use the center wing fuel tank for that reason - better to carry more payload and make a stop for gas). The main deck would need massive strengthening to carry a reasonable cargo load, and the upper deck is all but unusable for freight - even if it was strengthened, you'd need new, specialized (i.e. expensive) GSE to get the stuff up there. Plus all that extra structure would increase the empty weight without raising the MZFW so now you can carry even less cargo. Of course, there is the option of increasing the MZFW, but that's a huge, very expensive effort (both non-recurring development and recurring to upgrade the individual airframes). The flight deck location effectively rules out an opening nose door for oversized stuff.
Or you can go pick up a 747F and be good to go.

BTW

The pressure to be fuel efficient will only increase as the drums of climate change continue to beat.
Although better fuel efficiency was an early claim for the A380, the bottom line is that the A350, 787, and soon 777X have significantly better fuel burn per seat mile than the A380 (even the A330 NEO is probably better). And the big twins will take you where you want to go, not to some hub where you have to get on another flight to get to your destination.

The AvgasDinosaur 10th May 2019 19:13

Let’s not forget these A380s now being withdrawn are the very early non standard ones. Not unlike the very early production B.787s. Which have also proved very difficult to sell. We may get a better picture when later built examples come to market.
Be lucky
David

CargoOne 10th May 2019 19:27


Originally Posted by Jack330 (Post 10468235)
I wonder what Emirates will do with more than 100 380’s in the future, unlike a B777 or 787 or even a 767, the A380 will have a value of zero in a decade or so.

B777 will be difficult too. Very limited number of operators outside the first tier and they typically operate just a couple of aircraft. Remarketing of 777s is difficult already today and we are not into the massive wave of re-deliveries from original operators yet. There is no room for 1300x 772&773 on second hand market except freighter conversions.

tdracer 10th May 2019 20:51


Originally Posted by CargoOne (Post 10468421)
B777 will be difficult too. Very limited number of operators outside the first tier and they typically operate just a couple of aircraft. Remarketing of 777s is difficult already today and we are not into the massive wave of re-deliveries from original operators yet. There is no room for 1300x 772&773 on second hand market except freighter conversions.

But I think you'll find the 777 makes a pretty good freighter (160 already in-service, with over 50 more on-order). Plus, even though it's been in-service for 24 years, you're not seeing many ending up in the desert. The operators just keep flying them.

Kerosene Kraut 10th May 2019 20:59

The more modern and more standard Emirates A380 would be way better for another second hand airline use or for industrial conversion to package freighters. Think Amazon or similar. They are not good for heavier general cargo but lightweight packages would be some perfect cargo.

BEA 71 11th May 2019 00:00

The condition of the aircraft is not the point when looking for a buyer, the problem is mainly the costs for refurbishing, which is the reason, why IAG have dropped their plans to buy second hand A 380 aircraft. It would probably be cheaper to buy new aircraft.

ironbutt57 11th May 2019 00:26


Originally Posted by Kerosene Kraut (Post 10468484)
The more modern and more standard Emirates A380 would be way better for another second hand airline use or for industrial conversion to package freighters. Think Amazon or similar. They are not good for heavier general cargo but lightweight packages would be some perfect cargo.



add in the cost of infrastructure required to service these as freighters, one might discover why FedEx early on had expressed interest in the 380, then abandoned the idea..

last747fe 11th May 2019 04:41

Ups also looked at the 380 but ultimately we got 747-400f and then 747-8, as my name implies, I road the classic to the end!

4runner 11th May 2019 06:08


Originally Posted by tdracer (Post 10468481)
But I think you'll find the 777 makes a pretty good freighter (160 already in-service, with over 50 more on-order). Plus, even though it's been in-service for 24 years, you're not seeing many ending up in the desert. The operators just keep flying them.

yes. The 777 makes a pretty good everything. This was the last Boeing developed before this current regime took over. It was a clean slate design by engineers and limited oversight by accounting. They’re as good as it gets. Ours were pulled off a ramp surrounded by jungle on 2 sides and salt water on the third side and have never left us stranded. We have some of the first build LR’s. Fantastic machines.

CargoOne 11th May 2019 08:16


Originally Posted by tdracer (Post 10468481)
But I think you'll find the 777 makes a pretty good freighter (160 already in-service, with over 50 more on-order). Plus, even though it's been in-service for 24 years, you're not seeing many ending up in the desert. The operators just keep flying them.

So far 777 freighters are exclusively factory built freighters and while conversion program have been under consideration for years, it is not officially launched yet. And very likely it would concentrate on -300ER due to its much better volume. There are over 100x B777 in storage at the moment, mostly -200/200ERs - these aircraft are doomed. Since Jet Airways went tits up recently we will see how quickly the market can absorb a dozen of -300ERs unless Vistara will go ahead with their suicide plan to take them all at once...

Sunamer 11th May 2019 08:20


Originally Posted by Less Hair (Post 10467889)
The A380 concept matured over tens of years. While the airline industry moved from carrying more and more passengers through hubs to point to point with smaller aircraft and a focus on business travellers. This is why there are 787 and A350 now.

that is to say that Boeing was right again with their strategic moves.

oldchina 11th May 2019 13:58

Former Airbus employees know that for its day the 777 is as good as it gets

Kerosene Kraut 11th May 2019 17:57

Not sure how right Boeing was. They developed the 747-8 believing in the big quad's future themselves.

Concerning the A380 as a freighter: FedEx and UPS had ordered (firm) factory build A380 freighters back then until Airbus cancelled that version during their electrical wiring "harness mess".

Smythe 11th May 2019 18:06


Let’s not forget these A380s now being withdrawn are the very early non standard ones.
True, according to the news, in combination with the lease and parting out the aircraft (leasing the engines) the good Dr made 148% and 155% rate of return on the ac.

I seem to remember FEDEX ordering 380-800F..whatever happened to those?


https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....95c5c0bd9c.jpg

Kerosene Kraut 11th May 2019 18:14

Orders possibly converted to other Airbus freighters?

tdracer 11th May 2019 18:25


Originally Posted by Kerosene Kraut (Post 10469127)
Not sure how right Boeing was. They developed the 747-8 believing in the big quad's future themselves.

Concerning the A380 as a freighter: FedEx and UPS had ordered (firm) factory build A380 freighters back then until Airbus cancelled that version during their electrical wiring "harness mess".

Boeing built the 747-8 to take market share from the A380, and to maintain the dominance of the 747 Freighter (remember, the 747-8F was the launch aircraft and entered service first - the passenger version was almost an afterthought). It appears to have worked - the 747-8F is still in production and the A380 is officially dead. Boeing isn't making much money on the 747-8F at the current production rate, but they're not loosing money either.
Yes, there were a small number of A380F ordered early, then cancelled when Airbus ran into trouble with the A380. But even before the orders were cancelled, industry analysts were puzzling over the A380F - for the very reasons I posted earlier. It seems to be rather telling that, after Airbus got a handle on the A380, they never bothered to re-offer the A380F.
The 747 was designed from day one to make a good freighter. The A380 wasn't.

atakacs 11th May 2019 18:26


Originally Posted by Smythe (Post 10469130)
I seem to remember FEDEX ordering 380-800F..whatever happened to those?


https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....95c5c0bd9c.jpg

for various reasons described in this thread and elsewhere in the forum Airbus decided not to build them.

And conversion is a non starter. There will be a lot of a380 scrapping in the coming years.

Kerosene Kraut 11th May 2019 18:59

The A380F was cancelled by the manufacturer not by it's customers.

tdracer 11th May 2019 21:14


Originally Posted by Kerosene Kraut (Post 10469167)
The A380F was cancelled by the manufacturer not by it's customers.

Your point being? Seems to me that would confirm the contention that the A380 wouldn't make a good freighter, at least not without a massive investment that Airbus didn't see paying off.


Junkflyer 11th May 2019 21:27

https://www.airbus.com/newsroom/pres...ue-livery.html

Kerosene Kraut 11th May 2019 22:02


Your point being?
Customer demand was there.

bvcu 11th May 2019 22:21

777 Freighter conversion not launched yet , carbon fibre floor beams have to be replaced which makes it a big expensive job so market has to right to make it viable.

tdracer 11th May 2019 22:51


Originally Posted by Kerosene Kraut (Post 10469266)
Customer demand was there.

Seriously? There was sufficient customer demand to make money if they developed an A380 Freighter, but Airbus decided not to bother? They threw away a lucrative market?
Or was it the same 'customer demand' that lead Airbus to forecast selling 1500 A380s when they launched the program?


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